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Thanksgiving Picks

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Gobble, Gobble y’all. It’s time for Thanksgiving NFL!

The NFL and Thanksgiving go together like a stuffed bird with no feathers. The tradition dates back to 1920 when the NFL first came into existence. Of course the tradition of Thanksgiving football games is a American college tradition that dates back to the 1880s’, but like all great traditions it was adopted and marketed to the masses.

Detroit was the first team to be tagged with Thanksgiving hosting duties in 1934, and has continued on this symbolic gesture every year. Many AFC teams have complained about them not being able to host any of the games, but where were you in 1934? Huh, punk. Don’t mess with Detroit.

Dallas Cowboys joined the turkey-fold in 1966, 6 years after they were welcomed into the league. There are numerous myths as to why the Cowboys ‘had’ to host Thanksgiving, but it all boils down to ‘there was nothing to watch on TV that day.’ Good enough for Dallas, good enough for me.

I am a huge fan of the Thanksgiving games. As a Canadian, it always felt nice to have 2 turkey eating holidays-even if your Thanksgiving only had NFL football.
My dad use to always take off work every ‘Black Friday’, which was nice as well.
It was only years later I learned he did this because he was incredibly hungover.
Still got quality time with him and McDonald’s!
Boom.

This year is a bitter sweet game, as my Bears play my dad’s Detroit Lions. I wish more than anything that I could watch the game with him, but sadly dementia is a bitch.

I will be watching the games on Thursday ay Belushi’s in Camden, come join us for some fun.

-3 Bears vs Lions +39

Chicago Bears
The Bears won! The Bears won! Mitchell Trubisky continued to struggle, but somehow found his mojo in the 2nd half. He still has the QB vision of someone who was kicked in the head by a goat, but he was able to check the ball down field. It flabbergasts me how many open targets he misses every week. Almost as much as being able to use the word ‘flabbergast’ when talking about Mitch.
As much as he takes the bulk of the blame, a depleted o-line has also not given him much time to get the ball off, or Montgomery the pace to get open.
Montgomery was used more effectively last week, but they still need to get the momentum going and build on a pattern of 1st downs.
The defence continues to play well, despite being let down by Mitch.
They handled the Giants last Sunday easily, & this depleted Lions team will offer far less of a bite.
Driskel is in for an abysmal day.

Lions
Poor, poor Detroit. I am talking about the city, not the team. The Lions are Stafford-less, and it looks like he doesn’t seem to mind as he ‘backs’ his way out of the season. Jeff Driskel couldn’t get picked for a tema in a league full of asthmatic children, so starting for the Lions is a leap. He made some truly crap-tastic passes last week, & was fortunate the Redskin receivers could barely hold onto their balls.
Their running game will rely on Bo Scarborough running into the Bears defense, who will be relentless.
The Lions D will be tasked with not only covering the Bears speedy receivers, as well as trying to block a surging running game.
Luckily, Mitch Trubisky can’t throw that far.

Bills vs -6.5 Cowboys +45

Bills
Buffalo is 8-3, and Dallas is 6-5. If you told most fans that this is how it would go down by week 13 of this season, they wouldn’t believe you. Well, maybe Ryan would.
Josh Allen has been playing incredibly, and they have really squeezed the value out of their stingy defence. Of course, it helps when you have the EASIEST schedule in the NFL this year.
Will they be able to get their running game and wide receivers firing against ‘DemBoyz?
It will be tough, but with the amount of injuries on the Cowboys side, there is a chance the Bills win this, if not just keep it close.

Cowboys
The Cowboys is trippin’ after their loss last week to the Patriots. It was a rather low scoring affair, that had the refs surprisingly side with the Patriots on many calls. What? They can choose sides? They sure can! Amari Cooper looks hobbled and Zeke is struggling to get back into form. They are at home, but with that 4 day loss-hangover following them back.
Dak will be able to put up points, especially with his feet, but look for the Bills to keep this one closer than people think.

-7 Saints vs Falcons +49

Saints
A few weeks ago these two met, and the result was unpredicted. The Falcons smoke-showed the Saints who looked lost as they took a pummelling. Will it be the same this week? No way, Jose. The Saints had a few more injuries then, including Alvin Kamara. These guys are back and healthy. Brees is now on form, and in another dome. A dome where the Falcons lose a lot. They should get use to that.

Falcons
Despite playing putting together a string of wins, the Falcons aren’t fooling anyone. They identify as sucks, suckies, and suckers. They got slapped around by the Bucs last week, as their tough defence was penetrated numerous times without consent by Jameis. The fact that Hooper and Austin will be out this week means Matt Ryan will have hardly anyone to throw to, and even less time. If Marshawn Lattimore returns to the Saints D, we could see even more ugliness. This is the latest of the games, so hopefully the Falcons fans will be wasted.

Where are you watching the games? If you’re in London-join us at our fantastic BetRegal Thanksgiving party at Belushi’s Camden. Sign up ahead of time, or on the day and get a welcome beer! We have plenty of space for all of your NFL viewing needs.

We are also running a DraftKings Thanksgiving contest as well. It is free to join and fun as all get out.

Don’t forget, Friday is ‘Black Friday’, so make sure you don’t drunk shop when you are watching the games!

Good luck, and Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Wade’s Week 12

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How did you do in our Week 12 NFL picks across the spread?
Did you take any of my advice to make some money off of your bets?
Great if you did! Too bad if you didn’t, because you could have bought Christmas gifts for the kids.

The NFL bye weeks are officially done, which means it’s full games from here on in. Which means 16 games which to handicap, which gets tougher as teams play for their lives.

I went 11-3 for Week 12 in the NFL, although I am extremely pissed off at the games I lost on. They should have gone the other way, but I will explain this in greater detail.

Here are the games I picked correctly for Week 12

  • Browns +10.5-They were hungry after helmet-gate
  • Giants +6.5-Don’t trust Mitch with a big spread
  • Jets +3-My pick of the week
  • Panthers +9.5-Too big a spread for a Saints team in the mix
  • Bucs +4-Ugly football is still a win
  • Redskins +3.5-Detroit sucks
  • Titans +3-The Jags can jag-off the rest of the season
  • Cowboys +6.5-This had low score written all over it
  • 49ers -3-No way were the Packers going to do anything but cry
  • Ravens +3-Lamar ran all over them so badly he left marks

So those were the winner-winner, chicken dinners.
I tried to use as much maths and predictions as I could here, but still not close to a perfect week.
I haven’t had one of those in 2 years, always looking.

Here are the games that screwed me over.

Broncos vs Bills

The Broncos D was coming off that HUGE loss to the Vikings the week before, and the Bills have been coasting along. They also have an upcoming Thanksgiving game, so you would think that this should have lead to a Broncos victory of cover? No, because their QB is garbage, and they have no one left on the team. The Bills were able to move the ball around effectively and Josh Allen continues to impress. The Bills now have a solid position going into the playoffs.
The Broncos can suck it.

Steelers vs Bengals

Everyone should smoke the Bengals right? Not the hapless Steelers, who needed last half heroics to salvage this game. I thought that they would rely on their D, and move the ball on the ground. Mason Rudolph wasn’t having that, tossing the ball around like an idiot. To many penalties, to much stupidity. Rudolph was eventually benches, which led to a score, but Pittsburgh is now in my crap books the rest of the season. I might actually by a Steelers NFL jersey, just to burn it.

Seahawks vs Eagles

The Eagles have been able to put some good games together with a tight D, and I figured that the Eagles at home, with a playoff spot slipping away-that they might do something tough and fun. Nope. Russell Wilson made them look like chumps, and the receiving and running corp blasted the Eagles into oblivion. To make matters worse, the Seahawks D which I thought was struggling, actually looked good against Wentz. Is he a franchise QB? I don’t know about that.

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We will have more picks up throughout the week.

Join our DraftKings Thanksgiving contest this week as well.

 

Wade’s Week 12 Picks

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What’s Wade’s top Parlay Tip for Week 3?

Ok folks, I have a triple threat here, which I think will be a winner-winner chicken dinner for your Sunday betting roast. If you like my tips, or they help you out, make sure you follow & subscribe for more tips.

I’m not a betting expert, let’s get this out the gate to begin with. But I do well with NFL. I’m hitting 65% this season which tops most Vegas casino bookies. I’ve averaged 71% in 2018, 67% in 2017 & 70% in 2016. If you don’t believe me we record and post all this crap, so go through the archives.

So let’s bang on with a 3 some of that will treble you a 7.11. Throw £100 on this and you profit £611. Easy peasy. Your money, my goodish advice.

Broncos (3-7) vs -4 Bills (7-3) +38

The Broncos are hurting. Maybe not as much as the Browns, maybe more-but they are hurting. They laid a beatdown on the Vikings only to see it disappear before their foolishness. To have your D swarm, scramble and surround with such ferocity, & then watch the O just do ‘no’, was a sad show.
The Bills are buoyed by Josh Allen’s plucky win over a loser team last week. Make no mistake, this Broncos D is no loser. They are angry. The Bills are at home, then have 4 days to play the rough-riding Cowboys in Dallas.
It’s doubtful the Bills will be fully focused. They have won a few games, but the road ahead is paved with titan teams. Just not the Titans. This might be more a practice game for the Bills, looking at the Thanksgiving roast ahead. Prep your O line for the Broncos, but don’t get hurt enough you’re not ready to beat the Boyz.
Ryan has been unnaturally silence on the Bills success, which has shown his temperance as husband and fan, I respect that, but I also know there is a massive ‘fuck you guys!’ brewing inside & I kind of want to see it.
A Bills fan celebrating is better than a Packers, Cowboys, or Patriots fan any day.
I still see the Broncos winning in this one, the Bills are getting ready for the Cowboy plains showdown.
Broncos Win

-3 Raiders (6-4) vs Jets (3-7)

The Raiders are playing some good Gruden football! There fired up! Yes, the Raiders do posit themselves as the wildest of potential wildcards going into this playoffs, but division winner? That’s a tough ask. So is this game. The Raiders have relied heavily on Josh Jacobs, but their receiving corp is pretty banged up.
The D is banged up, with a secondary looser than a housewife after her third pinot before noon. And just like her they are easy to score on as the night progresses. You end up banging them deep in the back end all night, and yes-I’m talking football. Sort of.  Robbie Anderson could tear up this back end all night long. Oh yeah. But seriously, you might want to add him to your fantasy.

The Jets limited Saquon Barkley to 1 yard last week. 1 yard. So Josh is going to struggle and Carr is going to have to shake and bake against a glowing defence. Sam Darnold is also starting to show the signs of a comatose patient now awake. Maybe it wasn’t mono, maybe it was a genetic implant but the kid is starting to look better. Unlike other QBs of his draft, he displays a real craft for innovation.
I like the Jets here to continue their unrestful behaviour. They are the Raiders of the east coast, and this time the silver and black will be held back.
Jets Win

Seahawks (8-2) vs -1 Eagles (5-5)

Eagles favoured by 1 huh? Huh? Why would that be? The Eagles suck and the Seahawks are totally blaze amaze. Eagles had a 10 point lead on the Patriots last week until a defensive injury set the whole team back. Brady got time, Brady & the D got points. They are playing a fierce level of football now that’s a reflection of the city. Hard, hungry, gritty and an outsider. As a 5-5 team they are gunning for a wildcard spot, they know their division is weak, and like an eagle they are circling. New pieces, new focus, look out. They wild now.

Their counterpart birds the Seahawks are 8-2, but a shaky 8-2. Russell Wilson and the gang seem to be packing horseshoes and hand grenades as they plough though some easy victims on their way to the playoffs. Yeah, they have won some good games, but this one might be different. Tyler Lockett being out is going to limit RW, and Philly shuts down the run like a mutha-trucka. The Seahawks are in a tight spot here, and I don’t like their chances in a cold night in Philadelphia. It’s going to be a rude awakening to the NFC & east coast cold winters. Santa will be here soon Russell, just not tonight.
Eagles Win

So take these 3 bets and you get a 7.11 bet which means this parlay is 7.11 times the value of your bet. Even if you throw £10 down, you will get £71.10, for an overall profit of £61.10.
Take a punt on my parlay, who knows?

Podcast-Week 12 Preview

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It’s the Week 12 preview with Wade McElwain & Ryan Cull. Sit back & enjoy, or just get annoyed at the boys talking NFL crap.
The Myles Garrett affair seems like a world away as teams prepare for a big week in Week 12.
Wade & Ryan look at all of the games ahead and make their predictions for each game, to make your betting experience even easier.

Don’t forget, we have a new betting partnership with BetRegal coming out, so you can take our picks and bet with them. Make money having fun watching the NFL.

We also have a partnership with DraftKings, so join the latest deposit $5 & get $10 free. You get $15 to play with and have some fun doing so.

Listen to the latest podcast, and be sure to check out the vodcast-which is streamed live on our Facebook page.

Here are some of the games that Wade and Ryan agree on. Some of them are upsets, which makes their harmony even sweeter.

Broncos vs -4 Bills

4 points is a big ask for a Bills team at home. Sure, Josh Allen had a great week last week, but this Denver D is firing and fiery. Losing to the Vikings last week also has to motivate the Broncos, as their offence literally threw it away. The Bills have to play in 4 days against the Cowboys, so they might not be fully focused on this one. Wade & Ryan both have the Broncos to cover, although Wade thinks that they will win.

Giants vs -6.5 Bears

6.5 points for the Bears? That’s almost a touchdown! Mitch Trubisky hasn’t barely thrown a touchdown. More people throw out their backs yelling at Trubisky than he actually accomplishes. The Giants are looking for the return of some talented receivers, which should make this game even more interesting. If Danny Dimes can flush out Shephard, Tate or Engram, the Bears could struggle to contain them. The Bears O-line also needs to step up. While MT is to blame for his myopic QB vision, the O barely gives him any time to throw. They need to pocket focus so he can get his steps if they are ever going to commit long term to him. Both guys have the Giants to cover, although Ryan goes with a win.

Miami vs -10.5 Cleveland

10.5 is some screw you points. That’s expecting the Browns to level an epic beatdown on the porpoises this Sunday. The whole Myles Garrett thing shook the team, but it wasn’t the team. It was one guy. One guy on a team that is struggling to find their rhythm. Will they rebound with aggression or continue to implode. This is the game that marks their maturity. Boy guys think they will rebound and put on a Miami beatdown that hasn’t been seen since the neon 80s’. Odell should be ringing bells and the Browns D should be stealing some Fitz-Magic. Dolphins win big.

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Ryan’s Late picks

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Our own Ryan Cull makes his top picks for the 9pm (4pm) games so you don’t have to.
Is Ryan right? Generally no. But who knows this week? He made these sober so that’s a good start.

Cardinals vs -10 49ers

This is a big spread for a hurt team. Kyler Murray is a plucky sucker, so downing him 10 points will only inspire him. Big prediction here Ryan thinks the Cardinals will actually WIN! Yep, exclusive here. Bet your kids gender transition fund.

-4 Patriots vs Eagles

Brady & Billy are back from the break & ready to crumble lives. The Eagles might be that victim, but they too are motivated. Ryan likes the rested Pats to kick the birds.

Bengals vs -10.5 Raiders

Jon Gruden has his team playing competitive football. His squad is focused & playoff hopeful. 10 & a half points is a pretty big spread. Bengals should cover that embarrassing line.

Bears vs -6.5 Rams

The Bears & Trubisky are sucking hard, & they aren’t even establishing the run. Will that change this game? Jared Goff is also slumping, so this could be the battle of the suck. Bears to cover.

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