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New Predictions

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Week 4 of the NFL is here, and there are some new predictions based on Covid, injuries and other NFL news.
I have adjusted my picks due to injury reports that have been released on Sunday.
Fortunately, the Saints vs Lions game is still on, and the Patriots and Chiefs will either be played on Monday or Tuesday.

Here are some of the new scores that I have updated based on the new information.

Saints vs Lions

Detroit has some of their key defensive players back, and the Saints are lacking some of their top receivers.
The Lions are at home and are ready to rumble. I like the Lions to cover, or even win.
Detroit 31 Saints 28

Cardinals vs Panthers

The Cardinals injury report takes out 3 of their secondary. This will allow Teddy and Robbie Anderson to deep ball some damage to the Cards who have struggled against veteran receivers. The original line in this game was -3.5, but the Panthers at home are just too much to pass up.
Cardinals 30 Panthers 28

Seahawks vs Dolphins

The Seahawks are traveling across the country to a sweaty and hot stadium with no a lot of rest. Miami has been stellar at home, and have also had 10 days off after a Thursday night game. Russell Wilson is awesome, but his injury report is ghastly. The Seahawks will win, but the Dolphins have a chance to really cause some damage with a rested team.
Seahawks 33 Dolphins 26

Chargers vs Bucs

With the release of the injury report, it seems the Chargers will be without 3 starting offensive lineman. This is huge given the speed of the Bucs front D. Tom Brady will be looking to torch the kid despite missing Godwin. Mike Evans and Grink look to have a beast of a game here.
Bucs 24 Chargers 14

Giants vs Rams

When the original line was set at 13, I wasn’t ready to bite on the Rams being favoured by that much. Then I rewatched some of their earlier games and I felt reality kick me in the face. The Giants suck, and Jared Goff will light them up like a Roman Candle on Sunday.
Rams 33 Giants 18

Bills vs Raiders

The Raiders are now down 2 offensive lineman and 2 wide receivers. Facing an exceptional Josh Allen will only add to their woes. Allen survived a scare last week against the Rams, so he might be looking to make a statement here. A Stefon Diggs sized statement. This could get ugly.
Bills 28 Raiders 21

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Week 4 Preview

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Week 4 of the NFL is here, and oh what a doozy it is. Or is it dizzy? Number 19 Covid has lined up in this weeks formation, and things just got a whole lot virusy.

Wade & Ryan are at the hot mike mess, breaking down some of the games from last week as well as offering some top tips to help you win this week in fantasy and on your bets.
Wade bested last week with an 11-5 record against the spread, while Ryan potted a nice 7-9.
We learned that the Jets suck, Giants suck, hell most of the east coast of the US is sucking a big one. It’s going to be tough for some teams to turn it around down 4 games to start a season.

Colts vs Bears
Colts -2.5  +45

The 0 and 3 Bears are underdogs to an inconsistent Indianapolis team led by Philip Rivers. Is it fair to up the Colts when they have shown that they can beat by teams like the Jags? The Colts have shown a solid D and fast paced running game, but playing the Bears is not like playing the Jets. Chicago are swelling with pride after Foles came in to save the game, so a home game should be factored in their favour.
This should be either be really low scoring, or really high scoring, but given recent weeks look to the latter.
Ryan-Colts 27-23
Wade-Bears 28 Colts 24

Jaguars vs Bengals
Bengals -3  +48

Minshew versus Burrow in an important home game for Cinci. Minshew looks lost without DJ Chark, so his absence will put all the heat on Robinson. Jacksonville has played some tighter D, and some of their injured players will be back to bolster the secondary. Tyler Eifert might look to offer a ‘screw you’ touchdown to his former club.
Ryan-Bengals 24 Jags 16
Wade-Jags 24  Bengals 21

Browns vs Cowboys
Cowboys -4.5  +56

Oh Dem Boyz are off to a weird start of 1-2 despite chucking up loads of points every game. They have comebacks and beat downs, so the Browns will offer an interesting contest. Cleveland has some injured players returning on D who will be much needed in the pass rush to help Miles get to Dak. Baker has to prove himself in this one as he hasn’t really shown the zip he use to. Maybe playing in his collegiate state will help fire the loins of his youth.
Ryan Cowboys 34 Browns 24
Wade Cowboys 28 Browns 26

Patriots vs Chiefs
Postponed

Bill Belichick plays his best player this week, sending #19 Covid onto the field to take down all of the best players. It was a bold move for Belichick.

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Week 3 Results

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Well that was an explosive week 3 in the NFL. Most of the early games started off quite slowly with low scores on Sunday, and then the scoring happened. And boy did those touchdowns fly.
Atlanta suffered another humiliation, having blown more leads than a pitbull walker. Buffalo almost suffered the same fate, but were able to rebound thanks to the heroics of Josh Allen, and the Cowboys found another way to lose.
Wade was able to bounce back with a respectable 11-5, while Ryan was able to muster a 7-9 to round out the week.
Where did they go right? Where did they go wrong?

Wrong

Panthers 21 Chargers 16

Oh Carolina! The Panthers were 6.5 point underdogs in this match, and were able to take advantage of some sloppy turnovers to win this game. Even without Christian McCaffery, the Panthers were able to capitalise on Charger mistakes to hold on for the win. They also took advantage of a weak Los Angeles O-line to get to pretty boy Justin Herbert. Herbert looked good throwing for another 300 yard game, but if he can’t be protected, what’s the point?

Lions 26 Cardinals 23

Kyler Murray looked human as the Lions were able to put together some solid scoring drives to not let their lead slip away. In their first win in 11 months, the Lions were able to get some confidence back in holding the high scoring Cardinals at bay. In the end it was the Lions D who was able to do the job, snagging 3 turnovers to keep them in the game. The Lions play the Saints next week, so they will need to let that glow of the W fade away as they prepare for week 4 reality.

Right

Bengals 23 Eagles 23

The first tie of the year, and the Eagles should feel crappy about it. Despite being favoured by 6 points, they struggled against a plucky Joe Burrow, while Carson Wentz was booed by a crowd less stadium. Burrow was able to go 31 for 44 and 312 yards, which is pretty amazing considering his O line offers as much protection as crotchless panties. Wentz looked like he was the rookie, chucking INTs and plagued by ghosts like Sam Darnold. Both Wade & Ryan thought that Cinci would cover, and they sure did.

Steelers 28 Texans 21

Bill O’Brien might actually get fired this year, as his Texans are taking a beating at ever corner. The Steelers spent a good chunk of this game just trying to slow down DeShaun Watson, until they decided to change strategy and attack the end zone. The punishment was too much for the Texans who couldn’t keep up with Big Ben and co. There were times when it looked like Pittsburgh wouldn’t cover that 4 point favour, but they were able to calm down, focus and hold off a Texans team that is now 0-3.

Wade’s Wisdom

Bears 30 Falcons 26

Big Dick Nick is the Comeback King. Yes, that sounds like a channel on PornHub, but Foles gave Bears fan a chubby with his ability to rebound against the Falcons. Wade wasn’t going to bet against his Bears, and was confident that the Falcons would choke. If Atlanta had a PornHub channel, it would be ‘Choke me Daddy til I pass out.’ Trubisky had a fun little run, but when it came down to precision and leading the Bears up the field, it was Foles all the way.

Chiefs 34 Ravens 20

Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers seem to be building momentum this season, so it’s really hard to bet against them in key matches. Given that Lamar Jackson has never beaten Patty, Wade wasn’t keen on that happening on MNF. Lamar Jackson had his run shut down by the Chiefs fast and furious D, while Mahomes was just sublime in moving the ball down the field. Wade didn’t bet against Mahomes, either should you…yet.

 

DraftKings Tips

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Are you ready for some fantasy NFL for Week 3? The way that 2020 has been going, fantasy has been a hell of a lot better than reality. I’m here to give you some of my top tips for Sunday in the NFL.

Week 2 was a bit of a shit show, as teams were decimated by injuries to key people. While that doesn’t look good for the overall fantasy outlook, it does mean that some hidden gems could help make your DraftKings line-up this week. Here are some of my top tips to get you through week 3.

QBs

Nick Mullens $5100

Jimmy G and 40% of the 49ers squad is off this week, but it’s ok because they are playing the Giants.
I actually like the Giants to win this game, but that doesn’t matter that much in this pick. Mullens is a noodle armed backup that is surprisingly accurate in short to medium yardage. He won’t have much to throw to, but he will be able to get a few points off that crummy New York D.

Justin Herbert $5900

I really like this kid, he impressed last week and was fortunate enough not to get stabbed on the lung by the team doctor. Herbert is facing a weak Carolina D, and should be able to exploit some big holes & rack up some big points. For $5900 he’s a steal.

RBs

Jonathan Taylor $7000

This rookie has been ripping it up for the Colts, and he should find huge yardage against the garbage bag Jets. He’s well worth the $7k, as he will probably factor in at least 2 scores today.

Dion Lewis $5300

Saquon is gone, and the new guy is still getting use to the system, so look to see Lewis a lot in this game. The 49ers D is still fast enough to get to Jones, so he will need an option to toss the ball off easily.

WRs

TY Hilton $5600

Phillip Rivers and the Colts look to dismantle the Jets, so we should see TY Hilton ripping apart that ravaged secondary. At $5600 he is quite the steal.

Anthony Miller $4900

The Bears will look to exploit the big holes in Atlanta, and the speedy Miller has been a frequent target for Trubisky. This game should have a lot of points, so Miller will probably score a TD in this game.

TEs

Austin Hooper $4400

The Browns will be looking to smack up some points on Washington, and they are notoriously bad at covering the TE position. Look for Hooper to blast his way into the end zone in this game.

Hunter Henry $4800

A little pricier, but Henry will be a big target for Herbert in this game. He is a key player in redbone touches, and should factor heavily in this game.

DEF

Buccaneers $3700

These guys are fast, so when faced with an O line like that of the Broncos with a backup QB, they should factor heavily in getting to the QB. Loads of sacks in this one.

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Rushing Leaders-Week 3

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The real star of the 2020 season thus far seems to be injuries, as it’s taken down more teams than expected. Of course, we did expect a few injuries due to a lack of preseason and the physical and mental tolls of Covid 19, but this is pretty huge.

Saquon Barkley’s injury was horribly impactful on the Giants, although it looked like he wasn’t fully healthy in that game even prior to the ACL. Devonta Freeman has been picked up, but it’s doubtful if he can make a real impact on the season ahead.

Looking at the top RBs thus far, it’s Aaron Jones in the lead, after a monstrous beatdown of the hapless Lions. Rodgers has used him effectively in pass and run situations, despite the team not really drafting any help on offence.

Henry has been another boom for the Titans, as they take their undefeated record further in week 3. Tannehill has looked better, which takes the heat off of Henry in third down situations. Not sure if he can keep up the pace, but a good start to the season.

Zeke has been instrumental in the Cowboys big start, although he looked like a toy in week 1 when Aaron Donald used him to smack Dak. They will need Zeke to keep up the big numbers if they want to done and dust the NFC East.

Nick Chubb and the Browns started out slow thanks to a drubbing at the hands of the Ravens, but his week 2 performance against the Bengals was smashing. The 1-2 punch of Chubb and Hunt make them formidable for when Baker Mayfield is fromage.

Josh Jacobs is simmering to a good start to the season, and looked good in the Raiders win over the Saints. Gruden has orchestrated some good drives this season for the Raiders, so if he keeps it up, Jacobs will stay in the top 5.

Who do you like this week? Who have you picked up on the waiver wire? It’s a big week ahead, stay healthy everyone.