Weekend Picks Against the Spread
It’s Divisional Weekend in the NFL, so I thought I would share my picks for this weekend.
There are some pretty damn tight games, as well as some pretty high spreads-which means this one will be tricky when getting the point spreads and the overs right.
I also always like to check the weather, as that will affect the over/under in most games-as it’s tough to score in snow!
Luckily it looks like a pretty placid weekend, even in Green Bay.
We also have a DraftKings contest on this weekend, so see if you can win big in that one as well.
So here are my picks for the weekend.
Vikings (11-6) vs -7 49ers (13-3) +45
The Vikings and 49ers seem to be at opposite ends of the playoff spectrum. The Vikings started sluggish, then rebounded near the end of the season, while the Niners crushed everyone to start, before giving up a few suspect losses.
Yes, the Vikings do have momentum and a healthy line-up heading down to the Bay area.
The 49ers have played extremely well at home, and with that extra week off-will be anticipating the deep ball threat of the Vikes.
The big difference here is going to be the 49ers front 7 vs Kirk Cousins.
If you can get to Kirk, the offence is going to fall apart. He’s not a scrambling QB, so if they can get him on his back feet-they will score.
I like the Vikings to keep it closer than the 7 point spread, but these Niners with a week off will be too much to handle.
George Kittle will have a great game as well.
Titans (10-7) vs -9.5 Ravens (14-2) + 47
How do you solve a problem like Lamar Jackson? You don’t.
He is too fast, too smart, and has incredible QB IQ.
I think even Dr. Strange would need to go through multiple universe possibilities to see how the Titans can beat the Ravens.
Sure, they beat a hobbled Tom Brady and the Patriots last weekend, but the Pats averaged more yards than they did.
With a week off, and plenty of film to review the Ravens will be focused on shutting down Henry & Tannehill.
Henry will be tough, because he can pretty much through everything.
Tannehill on the other hand will be suspect to some huge pass rushes and a fierce secondary looking for loose balls meant for AJ Brown.
The Titans might be able to score on a scripted play early on, but the Ravens will pile on the pressure.
This one could be over by halftime.
Texans (11-6) vs -9.5 Chiefs (12-4) + 50.5
Looking for points? This game promises loads of them, as Patrick Mahomes heads to home field with a week off.
The Texans were able to overcome a plucky Bills team to steal a victory last week, but can they do it this week?
The Chiefs have a healthy roster back, and redemption in mind after their loss to the Texans this season.
Kansas has also improved on its D, with many healthy bodies back in the fold.
Can’t see anyway that the Texans will do anything but crumble under pressure in this game.
Seahawks (12-5) vs -4 Packers (13-3) +46.5
The Packers are 13-3 with a bye, but did they really whoop anyone this year?
Is anyone really scared of the Packers?
Yeas, they have home field advantage and the Seahawks have sucked at Lambeau in the past, but this game will be more than about that.
The Seahawks continue to grow in confidence, even with huge injuries to their running game.
Marshawn might be old and crusty, but he still can power run through some tough lines and is great in the redzone.
The Seahawks easily cruised through the Philly D, and there’s no reason to suspect that they won’t do the same here.
Russell Wilson should gash up yards running from the Packers D, who have trouble with QBs of his pedigree.
I originally thought that the Seahawks might be able to cover, but now I am confident that they can win.
Make sure you join us at the Long Acre pub in Covent Garden this weekend. FYI that if you are coming Saturday, you will need a ticket after 10pm as that’s when it becomes ticketed.
Why is that?
It’s central London on a Saturday-it gets nutty.
See you this weekend and good luck on your bets!