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Callum’s Week 9

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Welcome back to another edition of The Picks Six! Six sections of NFL Tips and Picks for the weekend ahead.

Week 9 is poised to be one of the best of the season so far. One legitimate blockbuster game (Saints-Bucs), plus numerous intriguing matchups that might tell us a lot about the playoff contenders and playoff pretenders. Seahawks-Bills, Dolphins-Cardinals, Bears-Titans, Ravens-Colts… tasty!! Let’s dive straight in and see if we can improve on our 26-14 record on picking games straight up! 

The 1st & Goal from the 1yd Line. (Season Record: 4-2) 

This is my lock of the week. A sure fire winner surely.

It’s got to the point in the season where you can almost pick teams to lose, rather than teams to win. So you might see a pattern to two develop in my “lock of the week” picks. This week, the hapless New York Jets face the wounded New England Patriots on Monday night. Cam and Bill find themselves at 2-5, trailing not just the Bills, but also the Dolphins(!!) in the AFC East standings. Patriots by a billion on Monday night. 

The 45yd Field Goal (Season Record 0-4)

This is my mid-range, around even odds, toss up of the week.

Embarrassingly, 0-4 on toss ups. Yeeesh. Let’s rectify that please. We’ll go for 2 this week and hope to halve our deficit. 

Steelers -14.0 – This line is big, but the Cowboys… against THAT Steelers defense!? Not for me. Don’t see how the Cowboys can score enough to keep up… or stop Big Ben enough to stay close… AAF legend Garrett Gilbert set to start for Dallas?? Ezekiel Elliott doesn’t look like himself?? They REALLY miss Dak… Pittsburgh for sure this weekend. They remain undefeated.

Texans -7.0 – Deshaun Watson deserves better than the record this Texans team has. No Gardner Minshew for the Jaguars means this should be a fairly straightforward Texans win. I wish the line was -6.5 of course, but even at -7.0 it’s hard not to believe in Watson (and his weapons) having enough to take the Jags apart. Texans please.

The Hail Mary (Season Record 0-3)

This is my shot from half field. Unlikely, but you never know. 

Went 2-2 on my under dogs acca last week, not too bad. Let’s try something different again this week. A little Touchdown Scorers acca.

Marquise Brown (vs Colts) – The Colts’ run defense is stout and they’ll be challenging Lamar Jackson to throw, whilst trying to take away Mark Andrews. I think that leaves Hollywood open for a score, especially after they connected in the endzone last week vs the Steelers.

Brandin Cooks (vs Jaguars) – I think the Texans run this score up quite a bit here. Watson has a great connection with Will Fuller, but quietly Cooks is putting together a nice season too. I’ll take Cooks vs a suspect Jags Defense.

Darius Slayton (vs Football Team) – Danny Dimes’ favourite target is due for a score, and the Washington defense scares me a lot more up front than on the back end. I see this game being back and forth and lots of throwing. A couple EndZone targets for Slayton is very possible. 

DeVante Parker (vs Cardinals) – Tua was mediocre last week but still managed to connect with the Dolphins’ top receiver for a Touchdown. I’m hoping he can repeat the trick in this game where Miami are likely to need to throw to keep up with Kyler and DHop. 

This acca pays around 52/1 depending on your bookmaker.

The Overs (Season Record: 2-3-1)

Saints @ Buccaneers – Over 50.5 – Sunday Night Football is supposed to be a shootout. If I’m staying up until 4:30am, I expect a Seahawks-esque 37-34 game, not a boring “blowout” like the Eagles-Cowboys last week. These two teams are explosive and Brees and Brady will want to outduel each other. Antonio Brown’s Buccaneers debut? Michael Thomas finally returning and wanting to make a statement? Both teams squabbling over the lead in the NFC South? I’m taking the over. 

Raiders @ Chargers – Over 51.5 – The Raiders burned me last week by shutting down the Browns, but I can legitimately blame that somewhat on the weather too. Justin Herbert and Derek Carr both like to push the ball down the field to their big threats; Henry Ruggs and Mike Williams really help this. But both these teams need a win. The Chargers seemingly have no problem running up points… but can’t stop leaking them at the back either. I like this over a lot.

The Parlay  (Complete Parlays 0-3, Correct Legs 7-7-1)

Baltimore to win – Jackson needs a statement win. This would be that.

Giants +2.5 – Giants pushed Brady close. Washington are well below average (that’s being kind). Giants should be favoured in my opinion…

Patriots -8.5 – As previously stated… it’s the Jets. Patriots. By. A. Billion.

Titans -6.5 – Tennessee bounce back game? Yep. Losing to Cincinnati will have pissed off Derrick Henry. Bears can’t stop Tennessee.

Falcons -4.0 – Broncos are Frauds. Falcons have the weapons. If Matt Ryan can hold it together, Atlanta should win with ease.

This parlay pays about 24/1 depending on your bookmaker.

The Full English (Season Record: 26-14)

Ravens @ Colts – Baltimore

Panthers @ Chiefs – Mahomes City

Bears @ Titans – Tennessee

Broncos @ Falcons – Atlanta (you can be DAMN sure I’m not picking against the city of Atlanta or the state of Georgia this week!!)

Lions @ Vikings – Minnesota

Texans @ Jaguars – Houston

Giants @ Football Team – New York

Seahawks @ Bills – Seattle

Raiders @ Chargers – Las Vegas

Dolphins @ Cardinals – Arizona 

Steelers @ Cowboys – Pittsburgh 

Saints @ Buccaneers – New Orleans (Give me the Brees upset with Michael Thomas having a big game. AB to score a TD though…)

Patriots @ Jets – New England 

Week 10 to Come:

Highlighted by Colts-Titans on Thursday night, plus Ravens-Patriots, Rams-Seahawks, and 49ers-Saints on Sunday, Week 10 should be another doozy, as the Steelers also face the Bengals trying to stay perfect. The playoff field will really start to take shape. As always, I’m @callumjdsquires on Twitter & Instagram. Follow me for Man Utd-related panic tweets, Joe Biden gifs and Dolphins’ fandom. Have a good one.

Callum Squires is a freelance writer, former collegiate athlete in America, and all around good guy. If you want to write articles for NFL in London, get in touch. 

Wade’s Week 9 Upsets

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There have been a few big upsets this week (looking at you America), so why not continue that hot streak, with some top Week 9 tips?
While none of my NFL picks will be as controversial or tied up in lawsuits as long as the American election will, they will distract you from the shit show in the USA, and hopefully win you some cash.
Every week I take a look at some of the best value upsets in the NFL, which usually involves the NY Jets.
Below is a video so that you can watch it in all of its glory for yourselves.

Since releasing my upsets tips every week, I’ve hit a record of 20-2, and going 9-0 over the past 3 weeks of the NFL.
Looking at some of the games this week, I am sure my trend will continue.

Here are some of my top upsets for Week 9.

Broncos (3-4) vs Falcons (2-6)
Falcons -4  +50

Atlanta sucks, and they have pretty much signalled that they are ready to trade anyone on the team moving forward. Matt Ryan is a good QB, but if all you give him to play with are broken toys, then you’re not going to get a very happy camper.
Denver is playing by the seat of their pants with no real driver at the wheel. Drew Lock is not the answer, but they have made some moves to get some solid receivers in need of a QB.
Denver is the better team of the two, as the Falcons are one loss away from collapsing into a heap and crying on the floor.
I like Denver for the upset here.

Bears (5-3) vs Titans (5-2)
Titans -5.5  +46.5

The Titans took a beating at the hands of the lowly Bengals last weekend, which was a bit of surprise to many teams. The tandem of Tannehill & Henry was meant to instils fear and domination in the league, but as of late-not so much.
The Bears have had a bit of a flaccid dick year, looking hard and rough at times, and limp and moist at others. Nick Foles is expected to do big things, but that also requires his players to hold onto balls, which has been a problem this year.
The Titans aren’t 5.5 points better than the Bears thus far this season. The Bengals tossed the ball all over them, and the Bears can have similar success.
With recent injuries to their O line, the furious Chicago D should have no problem causing headaches for Tannehill.
I like Chicago to cover.

Dolphins (4-3) vs Cardinals (5-2)
Cardinals -4.5  +48

If you listened to our podcast, then you’ll know I am not a huge fan of Tua. He looked like a kid out of his element, and his size and lack of downfield vision hampered any progress he was going to make against the Rams last week. I’m not confident him in this week either, but I am a big fan of the Dolphins D.
Kyler Murray has had a great year thus far, finding Hopkins in huge, long plays, and using Christian Kirk at will. He will struggle against a Miami D that is starting to find its rhythm as of late.
Arizona has a tough game ahead against the Bills next week, so they might not be fully charged in a demolition of the Dolphins.
Miami has nothing to lose, and they continue to play that way.
Miami to cover.

Those are my upsets for Week 9, here’s the video of all my reasoning. Make sure you subscribe to our channels and share. We also have plenty of DraftKings contests to play in, just find our League NFL in London to join in all of the fun. Lockdown sucks, but at least we have football to get us through it. Good luck this week.

DraftKings Week 9

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Who had Dalvin Cook in Week 8 of Fantasy NFL? Dude was a beast on Sunday, running for 4 TDs and over 200 yards. So who is going to be the next Dalvin Cook for week 8, and who should you put in your DraftKings line up?
All your fantasy tips are here.

QBs

Justin Herbert $6800

Can we just award the rookie of the year award to Herbert and get this over with? Despite having an O-line that’s more porous than a homemade condom, Herbert continues to chunk up big yards. He’s averaging 27 fantasy points per game, not to mention almost 3 TDs per game. He’s great value under $7000.

Nick Foles $5500

Foles has been about as accurate as a guy circumcised by a cross-eyed rabbi. He sprays it all over the place, and even when he does hit a receiver, they hold onto it like someone just pissed in their hands. Why Foles? Well, they’re playing the Titans, who got absolutely gashed by Burrow and the Bengals last week. The Titans have problems covering receivers, which should give Robinson and Mooney some time to catch the balls. He’s good value, and sure to get some deep points.

RBs

Dalvin Cook $8200

What does a guy do after gashing a division rival for 4 TDs and 200 plus yards? He does the same thing the next week. Detroit has an atrocious D, so they will struggle to contain whatever the Vikings throw at them. Cook is too fast and strong to be held back, and should be able to grab at least 2 TDs and 120+ yards this Sunday.

David Johnson $5600

The Texans face the Jaguars in Week 9, in a contrasting match up between both teams. Houston is buoyed by the loss of their coach, and the return of healthy players. The Jags lost Minshew and loads of others, with QB Jake Luton at start. David Johnson will be employed by the Texans often, and the Jags will struggle to control all the movement on the field.

Justin Jackson $4900

The Chargers are going to need someone reliable to run the ball against the Raiders, and Jackson is a steal at $4900. No one has emerged as the go to Chargers running back, but Jackson has be valuable in short yardage and Redzone chances. He’s a great deal and should get at least 1 TD.

WRs

Keenan Allen $7000

As a fan of pairing, Allen is the perfect side dish to Herbert. Allen has been on fire since Herbert joined, and provided he stays healthy every game, he’s the go-to wide receiver for pretty much every down.

Justin Jefferson $6100

This speedy rookie has had some up and down games. Last week against the Packers he wasn’t really needed, as Dalvin Cook ran right through Green Bay like melted cheese. Jefferson should see plenty of targets against the Lions. He is great with yards after catch, which should be substantial in this game.

Jerry Jeudy $4700

Drew Lock looked great last week, if you only look at the fourth quarter. He’s not that great of a QB, but at least their D keeps them in the game. Luckily Lock has Jeudy, who has been a tight little blazer in the Broncos offence. At $4700 he’s deffo worth it so you can save money on other players while still banging points.

TE

Noah Fant $4600

Fant has been a steady target for a Broncos team that lacks them. Solid hands and big presence, Fant has been a goldmine for fantasy points this season. The Falcons D is capital B ‘Bad’, so Fant should have no problem scoring against them.

Hunter Henry $4000

If you’re taking Herbert, why not look for Henry as well. The Raiders struggle against big tight ends, so this should be a real mess for them on Sunday. The Raiders are still hobbled by injuries, so this could be a big day for Henry.

DEF

Washington $3400

They might be the lowly Washington Team, but their D has been pretty fast and ferocious of late. Their pass rush has helped keep them in games, and with a hobbled Giants O-line, they should make life hell for Daniel Jones.

DraftKings League

If you’re looking to play DraftKings this week, why not join our DraftKings League? It’s free to join, and we have paid and free contests to join.
Here’s the link! Look forward to playing with you.

https://dkn.gs/r/kwxDR0JIokKPkA6cPjCtNA

Good luck on Sunday, and stay safe during this messed up year!

 

Sky Week 9

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Sky Sports has released its lineup of Week 9 games, so you can decide whether you’re watching it there, blacked out, or on Gamepass. We’re back on a 5 hour difference with the North American East Coast, which is a bit of a bummer once you taste a 4 hour difference.

TNF

Thursday Football is like an old high school girlfriend. She’s nice to think about, but once you commit to spending a whole night together, you wish you were sitting with your sweet gal Sunday.
Hardly anyone watches TNF even in America, instead opting for a CSI Utah marathon.
It’s a Friday at 1:20 am game, so why not watch it? It’s lockdown baby! Are you getting up in early to chug coffee before a Zoom meeting.
The Packers are smarting off a huge loss to Minnesota & the 49ers are dealign with a huge loss to their team, who all seemed to jump on the injury bandwagon.
Packers should pound San Fran in this one.

Sunday

Seahawks vs Bills 6pm

Finally, we don’t have to watch the Steelers again this week. Sky rode Pittsburgh for 3 weeks straight, pissing off loads of Keystone state fans who can’t afford Sky. The Bills escaped a lucky one last week against the Patriots, this one won’t be as forgiving though.

Dolphins vs Cardinals 9:25pm

Miami vs Arizona? Unless you’re talking about a Senior Citizen Battle Royale, you wouldn’t expect this to be much of a contest. Luckily, both these teams have some quick armed, fast moving QBs who know how to win. The Dolphins also have Tua, who does none of that.
This game might be interesting for a bit, but you can always catch highlights on Redzone.

Saints vs Bucs 1:20am 

Unless you were born in a cave, you might have noticed the weekly tally of Brees vs Brady with the most passing TDs. Please just STFU pundits, it’s annoying. We don’t need to see a ‘Breaking News’ banner across the screen every damn play. Let them finish the season, and then we can talk.
‘With a combined age of 83…’ is the kind of crap we’re going to hear all night.
Has no one heard of ‘ageism’? You just going to shame them every week based on how old they are?
Pretty sure if both guys were of colour, gay, coloured & gay, they would be less likely to hammer home the point each week.

MNF

Patriots vs Jets

Technically TMF (Tuesday Morning Football) as the hapless Pats take on the hopeless Jets. Who’s the real loser in this one? You, if you stay up to watch it. The Jets are not only tanking for Trevor, they’re taking one for the league, allowing themselves to be the butt, dick and stinky finger of every joke. Cam Newton should spend less time hat shopping, and more time reading defences.
A great game to watch the next morning over your first coffee dump.

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Wade’s Week 8

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And just like that, we’re halfway through the 2020 NFL season, which has to be the oddest ones that I can remember. A deadly virus, crippling injuries, and some terribly crap-tastic coaching have all featured in an NFL season brought to you by Covid-19 .
Our thoughts go out to everyone in the sports and hospitality industries who are facing ruin thanks to this ‘new normal’. Hopefully we can all be out in a bar or pub soon, cheering on our favourite NFL teams.

To help all you NFL fans out I have another round of my top picks and upsets, in ‘Wade’s Week 8’, I outline the top value you can get from looking at the lines and over/unders for this week.
Over the past 5 weeks, my upset record is 17-2, so hopefully you have been making some cash off of my NFL insight.
Or maybe you’re just ignoring me and hoping I make you food, like my kid does.
Here are some of the top picks for Week 8.

Vikings (1-5) vs Packers (5-1)
Packers -7  +54.5

Aaron Rodgers and co. have been playing fantastic football all season. However like every team, the Packers are not immune to injury. This was evident when the Packers face the Bucs and lost Bahktiari early in the game. As soon as they did, the Bucs D swarmed all over them. Bahktari is questionable for Sunday, which should give the Vikings more opportunities.
The Vikings have only won 1 game, but have put up buckets of points in most games.
Justin Jefferson has been a speedy God send, and he should factor in on Sunday against a Packers team who is weak against speedy receivers.
This game means more to the Vikings than the Packers if they hope to stem the downfall of the team this season.
Vikings to cover.
Packers 31 Vikings 25

LA Rams (5-2) vs Dolphins (3-3)
Rams -3.5  +46

It’s Tua time, as Flores ditches the popular Fitzpatick to give the young rookie a chance. The Rams have started to find their momentum, as their D is making it very hard for opposing quarterbacks.
It’s always hard to prepare for a QB you have never seen, as there is no game tape or footage to help you figure out his weaknesses.
Miami has had a hot hand under Fitzy, with the team playing with joy, as they take over second place in the AFC East.
Make no mistake, these Dolphins are no joke, as proven by their beating of the 49ers a few weeks ago.
Dolphins are at home, and they will be playing for a win, and they’ll get it.
Dolphins win.
Miami 24 Rams 23

LA Chargers (2-4) vs Broncos (2-4)
Chargers -3  +44

Always bet on injuries. It’s a formula that I have used in my NFL betting career. And boy do the Chargers have a lot of injuries. Their whole O-line is pretty much pooched, leaving rookie Justin Herbert a target on every play.
Despite sucking this year, the Broncos have a fast & furious defence that choked Mahomes down for 3 sacks last week. And that was against a healthy Chiefs, imagine what they will do this week.
Originally, I was in favour of Herbert having a lovely game, but seeing how many lineman he is missing, I am opting for the Broncos in this divisional match. Heck they might even win outright.
Broncos cover
Chargers 26 Broncos 24

These are just the big upsets that I see for this week, as there are certain games that I really don’t want to touch. Call it Halloween superstition, but there are too many X Factors in some of these games.
Including:

Titans (-6) vs Bengals
The Bengals are hurting, but they can also strike back like a cobra. We have seen in past weeks hot to stop and hit the Titans, but the Bengals lack the equipment to pull this off. I can see the Bengals covering in this one.
Titans 30 Bengals 26

Steelers vs Ravens (-3.5)
The Ravens benefit from a bye week, which means that they should be fully prepped, especially after their recent slate of additions. The Steelers are the only team with a perfect record, which can be an addiction to chase. But they will be chasing the Ravens all day.
Ravens 31 Steelers 26

Overs

Overs have been huge this season, as the lack of fans seems to have had an impact on gameplay. There are a few games that I think could be perfect for overs this week, including:

  • Colts vs Lions +50
  • Vikings vs Packers +54.5
  • Raiders vs Browns +54

DraftKings

If you like Fantasy NFL, join our DraftKings League to have some fun, and win cash every week.
Our League is called NFL in London, and you can join it right here.

https://dkn.gs/r/kwxDR0JIokKPkA6cPjCtNA