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2020 London NFL games

Week 11 Upsets

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Week 11 is here, so let’s see if we can find out where Las Vegas may have missed a few steps. That’s right, it’s time for Wade’s Week 11 upsets.
Despite a stinky beating last week, I am rocking a 23-5 upsets record, which I am hoping to improve upon this week.
It was a wild week of wind in week 10, which affected some of my scores, but not as much as injuries did.
So what lines might you want to look at this week? Well, here ya go!

Falcons (3-6) vs Saints (7-2)
Saints -3.5  +51

Drew Brees is a broken man, although it wasn’t known how broken he was until this weekend. With 11 fractures, Brees is going to be sidelined for most of the rest of the regular season. That means Taysom Hill is taking over, leaving poor Jameis Winston perplexed.
Maybe they will finally have a QB that can throw for more than 12 yards?
Atlanta finally has her groove back, with Matt Ryan chucking loads of yards and Calvin Ridley continuing to frustrate the opposition.
It seems a little disrespectful to look over the Falcons given their recent play, and the fact that they have loads of players back from injury.
This line has dropped from -5 to -3.5, and may continue to drop.
I like the Falcons here to cover, and if Matty Ice is grooving, they could potentially even win.
Falcons Cover

Lions (4-5) vs Panthers (3-7)
Panthers -3  +49

This game is like driving down the highway, and your two kids are fighting nonstop in the back. You’re not sure if you want to pull the car over and smack them both, or just aim the engine at the semi coming down the road and pray for sweet release of all of you.
Detroit is more than injured, they are also lacking in direction and focus. How much more can you expect to shoulder on Matt Stafford before his wife has a Twitter meltdown?
Carolina is favoured by 3 despite losing Teddy Bridgewater and Christian McCaffery. Really? Is Robbie Anderson going to do all the work himself then?
The Panthers pass rush sucks, which means broken Stafford will have plenty of time to hit Jones or Hockenson.
Lions Win

Bengals (2-6-1) vs Washington (2-7)
Washington -1.5  +46.5

Joe Burrow can’t seem to catch a break this year. He has played incredibly despite a horrible O-line keeping the Bengals in games, they had no right to be close in.
Washington can’t get a leg up, literally. Their QBs suck, and their only salvation has been their defence, which keeps them in games.
Cincinnati has played loads of tough teams, so it’s fitting that they finally get a game against a weak opposition. While Joe Mixon is out, Bernard will be fine to distract away from all the balls tossed to Higgins and Boyd.
I like the Bengals to win this one in the nations capital.
Bengals Win

Packers (7-2) vs Colts (6-3)
Colts -1.5  +51.5

Green Bay as underdogs? Are you trying to piss off and motivate Rodgers?
Sure, the Colts have improved their play thanks to getting players back from injuries, but they haven’t demonstrated being favourites over the Packers.
Indy’s D and O line have both been playing incredible football lately, but Phillip Rivers hasn’t been that convincing. They will need to use more than Nyheim Hines to get the running game going, as that seems like the only way you’re going to hurt Green Bay.
I like Aaron to light up this dome, and hurt the Colts at home.
Packers Win

So how much will you win this week if you parlay my 4 picks into one handy bet?
Well on Bet365 a £10 bet gives you a return of £158.26, including a 15% bonus for multiple bets.

Make sure you also join our DraftKings League. Our league ‘NFL in London’ is a great place to try your hand at fantasy NFL. You can play for FREE or in some of our smaller contests as well. Once you build your confidence up, try your hand at some of the great contests in the DK lobby.
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Stay safe, sane, and enjoy week 11!

Week 11 Podcast

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Week 10 was a wet and wild weekend, as bettors and fantasy enthusiasts alike were gut-punched by some tough games.
Wade & Ryan look back on the nasty week that was, and sum up their thoughts on what happened, and what it means for the season ahead.
Week 11 brings it with some interesting games with playoff implications, with questions for every division.
Will the Packers upset and dominate? Can the Steelers go 10-0 with ease? What’s up with Miami?
All of these and more in this week’s podcast.
Some of the games the guys look at include:

Falcons (3-6) vs Saints (7-2)
Saints -3.5  +51

Matt Ryan continues to lead the league in passing, torching defences in deficit as his team leaks even more points. Atlanta has strung a few wins together, and need to continue that focus in this divisional contest.
New Orleans is Brees-less this week, as Taysom Hill takes the reins in his first start of the season. He will need to be more than a flash in the pan this week to get the Saints sizzling on all fronts. Hopefully Hill will take some deep ball throws, something New Orleans his lacked with noodle-arm at the helm.
Ryan likes the Falcons for the upset win, while Wade thinks that Atlanta will cover.
Ryan- Falcons 27  Saints 23
Wade- Saints 26 Falcons 24

Eagles (3-5-1) vs Browns (6-3)
Browns -3.5  +48

Philly is nothing special this year, and Carson Wentz should be seriously worried about a job next season. They don’t have much clicking and after a beating by the Giants last week, you have to wonder what motivates the Eagles given their abhorrent play.
Baker Mayfield looks like he is zoned out this year, with a lack lustre effort in a home win last week. Sure, the wind sucked, but you should be able to get more than 10 points if you claim to be a calibre qb.
Ryan is big on a Philadelphia revenge in this game, and likes Wentz to put on a solid game. Wade isn’t as convinced, and likes the Browns to finally score at home and add another w to their tally.
Ryan- Eagles 20 Browns 17
Wade- Browns 27 Eagles 23

Titans (6-3) vs Ravens (6-3)
Ravens -6.5  +49

Tennessee has some major issues to address after such a commanding start. Relying solely on Henry isn’t the answer, as Tannehill is struggling with an offensive line that is making him work. Their own D has injuries as well, but they’ll need to pull together on this one to stop a stinky slide.
Baltimore is favoured by almost a touchdown after losing to Cam in the rain? The Ravens lost more than the game in Foxboro, as their D was besieged by injuries across all fronts. Luckily Tennessee doesn’t have the rushing squad, so Lamar will need to start running if he wants to confuse them.
Ryan likes the Titans on this one, and sees Henry having a big one. Wade agrees that the Titans are going to challenge and cover, but the Ravens should still win.
Ryan- Titans 27 Ravens 24
Wade- Ravens 24 Titans 21

Packers (7-2) vs Colts (6-3)
Colts -1.5  +51.5

Las Vegas has spotted the Colts in this one, obviously impressed by their recent wins after getting much of their team back from ill. They also saw what the Jags did to the Pack in week 10, and forsee more of the same visiting Indy.
Green Bay did struggle against Jacksonville, but you have to give credit to that fast front of the Jags, who rushed at Rodgers all game. The Packers may have been looking ahead to this game, as beating an AFC rival is a good show of strength heading into the stretch.
Indianapolis has looked good as of late, but Rivers hasn’t been that impressive. Hines has been a nifty addition, but they will need the speed of Taylor this week if they can hope to take advantage of the Packers weakness against the run.
Ryan and Wade both like Green Bay here, as Rodgers is never one you want to paint the underdog sign on when he’s feeling hot.
Ryan- Packers 28 Colts 20
Wade- Packer 30 Colts 26

That’s it for week 11 podcasting, make sure you subscribe to the podcast so that you are kept up to date with the latest news. We will be doing an earlier podcast this week for Thanksgiving, so make sure you look out for it.

Callum’s Week 11

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Hello! Welcome back to another edition of the Picks Six. Last week, we had some good (both Overs), some bad (Nick Chubb running out at the 1yd line…), and an 11-2 record in the Full English section! Pretty good. This week, there are genuinely the most games for a while where I’m scratching my head saying “I really don’t know which way I think this will go.” This is a dangerous position to be in, because I could either be perfect or awful due to these toss ups. I’m concerned, but excited. Let’s go. 6 sections, lots of picks and tips, have fun and enjoy. 

The 1st & Goal from the 1yd Line. (Season Record: 6-2) 

The Packers tried their best to make us sweat a little on this one last weekend, but managed to repel the surprisingly stubborn Jake Luton and the surprisingly stout Jacksonville defense in the end. We’re on a bit of a roll here in this section – so let’s keep it going!

After a brief one week break… We’re back to picking against the Jets gang!! It’s too easy – but how can you go against it? Justin Herbert has been great in his rookie season, and the Jets have been nothing short of abysmal almost from start to finish. The Chargers aren’t the most normal or reliable of teams – every game with them involved seems to have some weird quirk or another – but they’re more than talented enough to beat New York here. LA Chargers to win.

The 45yd Field Goal (Season Record 1-7)

CURSE YOU, NICK CHUBB. Running out at the ONE YARD LINE? This failure to cover Browns -3.5 ruined many people’s Sundays – not just mine – and also ruined my 2-0 bid in this category last weekend. Fortunately, Alvin Kamara was on hand to FINALLY drag us to a win!! The Saints -10.0 would not be denied, even with a somewhat concerning injury to Drew Brees. 

Anyway – finally – we’re on the board. This week, there are quite a few tight games across the board. I like TWO very slight underdogs. They are listed below:

Packers to win (@Colts)

I’m really unsure why the Colts are favoured here. Yep, they’re riding high off a nice win against the Titans, but their offense hasn’t really been electric this season. They’re relying on their defense to hold the opposition close and allow Rivers and his RBs (mainly) to slowly chip their way down the field. This week, Aaron Rodgers (who WILL have Davante Adams active) comes to town to try and tear down their castle walls. For me, that Packers offense is good enough to breach the Colts’ D. It is a toss up, but I’m leaning Cheese-Head. Packers to win.

Bengals to win (@Washington)

Joe Burrow is a big time player. He’s had an up and down first season in terms of results, but has shown more than enough to get the Cincinnati faithful excited about their future with Joey B as the face of the franchise. Conversely, Washington still seem to be struggling to find their identity. Yes, it’s great to see Alex Smith back starting games. I’m delighted he’s back healthy. However, it does also show that the Football Team are on their third starting QB of the season, and haven’t yet found the stability they would have hoped under first year head coach Ron Rivera. I’m riding the Bengals this weekend, largely because I trust Cincy’s QB, and don’t trust most of Washington’s team at all. Bengals to win.

The Hail Mary Touchdown Treble
(Season Record 0-2, Individual TD Picks 1-6)

This is my longshot from half field. Unlikely, but you never know. A Touchdown scorers Treble.

AB, Ruggs & Andrews all failed to find the endzone last week – frustrating and annoying! This week, we’re riding some Tight Ends to success…

Jonnu Smith (Titans, @ Ravens) – The Ravens HAVE to load the box to stop Derrick Henry. This opens up play action. Smith is very athletic and a great red zone target. I see it. 

Austin Hooper (Browns, vs Eagles) – This is the riskiest leg here, based on the weather and Cleveland leaning on the run, but Baker sure loves a TE target in the end zone. We saw Harrison Bryant catch two from Mayfield a few weeks ago, and Hooper is an elite receiver when given targets. Let’s ride it.

Taysom Hill (Saints, vs Falcons) – The Joker of week 11. You think Sean Payton is going to start his mobile QB and not have a couple QB runs scripted in the game plan for the red zone? No chance. Gimme Taysom to score (and probably throw for another couple too!).

£5 on this treble pays £140 depending on your bookmaker.

The Overs (Season Record: 5-4-1)

2-0!! We went 2-0!! The “Hail Murray” may have stolen the headlines, but Bills vs Cardinals was always guaranteed points, and TB12 on a bounce back against the Panthers didn’t let us down either. It’s nice when both the tips win!! This week…

Over 50.0 (Falcons @ Saints) – THIS is maybe the most intriguing game of the week. I was BUZZING to see Jameis Winston turned loose in Sean Payton’s offense… until they announced he wasn’t starting!? And… Taysom Hill IS?! It’s some strange voodoo down in NOLA… but maybe it might work?! I think Hill has shown enough in flashes to suggest he could be an interesting offensive weapon – best believe I’m starting him in multiple fantasy leagues this weekend – and the Falcons LOVE scoring and conceding points. I have no idea what to expect from Taysom, but I expect points from these two teams.

Over whatever the line is (Lions @ Panthers) – So at the time of writing, this game is “off the board,” which makes including it in my picks very difficult. Anyway – whatever the line is – I like the over. Matt Stafford is confirmed to be playing, looks like Teddy Bridgewater will be also. Both QBs are having good years, and both defenses are fairly suspect. I’d envisage the line being somewhere around the 50 mark, maybe a little below, but I like that. Detroit tried their best to let Washington steal one last week, and even without DeAndre Swift AND Kenny Golladay, they should have enough weapons (I’m looking at you both, TJ Hockenson and Marvin Jones…) to push this total up and over.

(SECRET PICK – I refuse to bet Unders on principle, but the weather is supposed to be bad in Cleveland again this weekend… so Under 47.5 Eagles @ Browns feels like a great pick. BUT life’s too short to bet the under. It really is)

The Parlay (Complete Parlays 0-5, Correct Legs 14-10-1)

3-2 last week… would’ve been 4-1 if not for, y’know… Nick Chubb… The Seahawks laying an egg vs the Rams was a surprise but softened the Chubb blow a bit. Anyway, the parlay…

Browns -3.0 (vs Eagles) – I KNOW, I KNOW, I KNOW. But yes – we’re back on the Browns. No Myles Garrett is a bit annoying, but the rest of that defense has stepped up in recent weeks, and the two-headed monster of Chubb and Kareem Hunt in the run game should be enough to dominate a subpar Philly team. Don’t be surprised if Baker looks good with play action after the run’s been established too. Browns please.

Bengals +1.0 (@ Washington) – As previously mentioned, I believe in Joseph Burrow. I don’t believe in Washington. It’s really that simple. I’m surprised that the Bengals are the underdogs, though I guess the lack of Joe Mixon contributes to that. Washington are the team that just refuse to die; they’re down 14 at half time every week, and end up coming back. This week, I think Burrow will want to outshine Chase Young – a battle of the 1 & 2 picks from last year’s draft – and light the Football Team up. Tee Higgins looks set to play which helps as well. Gimme the Bengals.

Titans +5.0 (@ Ravens) – Lamar needs a bounce back… but I don’t think this is the team he wants to face. The Titans are coming off a mini bye (haven’t played since last Thursday), and completely bamboozled the Ravens in the playoffs last year. There may also be no Calais Campbell for the Ravens run defense, which leaves so much opportunity for Derrick Henry to really start rumbling. The Ravens may well find a way to get some revenge for last year and win this one, but I think Tennessee will keep it close regardless. Take the Titans and the points.

Dolphins -4.0 (@ Broncos) – If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. The Dolphins are roooooooooolling. Now, has Tua played in altitude before? I dunno. Are the Broncos still bang average at best? Absolutely. Brian Flores is putting together a “Coach of the Year” season resume, and the Dolphins should be 7-3 after Sunday. 

Chargers -9.5 (vs Jets) – We’ve already touched on this;I like the Chargers… So, let’s not waste time. Despite the fact that last time out, Joe Flacco pushed the Patriots close… and the Chargers seem incapable of winning a game in normal fashion… which makes this is perhaps the secretly riskiest pick in the parlay this week. That said, it’s still the Jets. They’re 0-9. Justin Herbert wants to come out and make headlines for something other than his haircut. Believe in LA this week.

£10 on this Parlay pays around £270 depending on your bookmaker. 

The Full English (Season Record: 48-18)

A nice 11-2 again last week pushes the season record to a (even if I say so myself) respectable 48-18. A little over 72%. Decent all things considered. 

Here’s the week 11 slate:

Falcons @ Saints – Saints (This is the weirdest game of the week. Who knows what Taysom is going to do, but I believe the Saints are a good enough team to win without Drew Brees).

Bengals @ Football Team – Bengals

Lions @ Panthers – Panthers

Patriots @ Texans – Texans (I think this might be a “Deshaun Watson” game. Texans would be better off if they lost, but Deshaun ain’t up for tanking)

Eagles @ Browns – Browns

Steelers @ Jaguars – Steelers (10-0, perfect season alert, not sure if they make it to 16 wins, but they’ll add a 10th this weekend. 

Titans @ Ravens – Titans

Dolphins @ Broncos – Dolphins

Jets @ Chargers – Chargers

Cowboys @ Vikings – Vikings (But I wouldn’t be surprised if there WAS a little upset here… the cowboys are due for a bounce back and are not as bad as their record suggests they are)

Packers @ Colts – Packers 

Chiefs @ Raiders – Chiefs (they’re just too good)

Rams @ Buccaneers – Buccaneers

Week 12

Moving forward, week 12 gives us BOTH Thanksgiving Football AND NO BYE WEEKS! A full slate for our feast. I will endeavour to be back with a Thanksgiving Special (three interesting games!) before Thursday, and then the regular column for next weekend. 

Anyway, thanks for taking the time to read my thoughts. As always, I’m @callumjdsquires on Twitter & Instagram. Enjoy week 11! Stay safe, stay healthy. 

Callum Squires is an English writer, former NCAA athlete and Miami Dolphins fan. 

TNF Cardinals vs Seahawks

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Finally a great Thursday night NFL game as the Cardinals face the Seahawks, while most of the UK will be blanket dozed through the drizzle during this one. Those brave enough to stay up for this game will be treated to an epic match-up between two heavy hitting teams.
Will Seattle be able to hoist out a much needed victory against the fast moving Arizona squad?

Cardinals (6-3) vs Seahawks (6-3)
Seahawks -3  +58

Kyler Murray is lighting up the league with his rapid fire arm, and quick moves on the field-this kid is really something to watch. Arizona has taken some tough beatings in their 3 losses, but their 6 wins point to a team that can wreck havoc on the NFC, and challenge anyone in a fight. That last minute meteoric pass to Hopkins to crush the Bills is still something I watch in slow mo for fun, and to tease Ryan.
Something is wrong with Russel Wilson. He may not be physically ill, but mentally something just doesn’t look right. He just doesn’t seem to have his head in the game, and looks listless with such great talent at his disposal. Their defence is horrendous, and other teams have essentially defecated yards while they watch helplessly.
The Cardinals have to feel buzzy after that buzzer beater in Buffalo, riding high knowing that they can beat anyone. The Seahawks are wondering what to do, where it’s all going wrong, and what they need to do to right the ship. It’s rudderless and careening towards the playoff rocks at this point, and Pete Carroll needs to do something.
I like Arizona to keep thumping here. Kyler Murray is known for his revenge tactics, and after the beating that Seattle laid on Arizona earlier this season, KM will be looking to ruin the homecoming party for the Hawks.
Seattle won’t be able to correct their D woes in this contest, it’s going to take time, and sadly they just don’t have that.
I like Arizona to win this one and move on to a 7-3 record.
Seattle will take another L on the chin and hopefully no more injuries.

Cardinals 31 Seahawks 27 

Sky Week 11

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Ugh, what a tough ride week 10 was in the NFL. Not only were there some massive upsets, but the injury train continued to pick up more players to change the outlook of the season.
The Steelers are undefeated, the Ravens are struggling, and the Bears are a truly awful winning team.
Thankfully week 11 is now here, and the folks at Sky Sports have released their NFL schedule.

TNF

Cardinals vs Seahawks
1:20am Friday

What a game to kick off the week, as two 6-3 teams battle it out on a rainy Seattle Thursday night. The Seahawks have allowed points a plenty in the past few weeks, and something looks wrong with Russell Wilson, can they find their fire again to start cooking?
Kyler Murray is having fun, and it shows. The kid is hustling up the field, chucking bombs, and winning last second games in heroics.
This will be a great match, but most if us in the UK will have to enjoy it in the morning with coffee.

SUNDAY

Titans vs Ravens
6:00pm Sunday

An AFC battle for the ages, as two teams struggling to get a grips on their season face off to see who will be one of the contenders for the title.
Tennessee has been having troubles lately, as teams focus on Henry, they make Tannehill scramble and it hasn’t been going well. The Titans o-line is leaky, and their d is struggling to contain big plays.
The Ravens took a tough punch to the chin from the Patriots in week 10, highlighting the buckets of problems they have scoring. Lamar is not playing with his same intensity and he needs to get out of the funk.

Packers vs Colts
9:25pm Sunday

Aaron vs Philip in a Sunday night fight. This will be a big contest to see who has the mojo into the inal stretch of the regular season.
Green Bay was in tough against the Jaguars last week, as the Jacksonville D heaped all sorts of pressure on Rodgers .
The Colts have found their winning ways again, with an improved D, and Nyheim Hines taking over for Taylor in the running scheme.
This will be a great night in the dome to close out your Sunday.

Chiefs vs Raiders
1:25am Monday

The last of the Sunday night on Sky games brings us this epic AFC game. The last time these two teams played this season, the Raiders thumped the Chiefs and we all know how Mahomes deals with grudges.
Kansas City is healthier than the last game, with loads of holes plugged not to mention a well deserved bye week last week.
The Raiders are winning, but not consistent. They beat themselves more than other teams at times, and will need their A-game if they want to hold off the champs.

MNF

Rams vs Bucs
1:20am Tuesday

The Rams might be 6-3, but they sure don’t play like it. Just like Tampa, they are prone to inconsistent play and focus.
Goff is not shaping into the QB everyone talked about. He looks uneasy and sluggish at times, and the running game has yet to fully develop.
TB12 has loads of weapons at his disposal, so why is he struggling to use them. AB has flashes and Mike Evans hasn’t been seen this season, Tommy needs to get some routes in order so that he can feed these guys on big plays.

Sadly we still don’t have any live events planned yet due to this sucky virus.
It looks like the Super Bowl is also in doubt, but we will let you know.
In the meantime, join our Facebook Group to keep up to date for all the latest NFL in London news.
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