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Wade’s Week 9 Upsets

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There have been a few big upsets this week (looking at you America), so why not continue that hot streak, with some top Week 9 tips?
While none of my NFL picks will be as controversial or tied up in lawsuits as long as the American election will, they will distract you from the shit show in the USA, and hopefully win you some cash.
Every week I take a look at some of the best value upsets in the NFL, which usually involves the NY Jets.
Below is a video so that you can watch it in all of its glory for yourselves.

Since releasing my upsets tips every week, I’ve hit a record of 20-2, and going 9-0 over the past 3 weeks of the NFL.
Looking at some of the games this week, I am sure my trend will continue.

Here are some of my top upsets for Week 9.

Broncos (3-4) vs Falcons (2-6)
Falcons -4  +50

Atlanta sucks, and they have pretty much signalled that they are ready to trade anyone on the team moving forward. Matt Ryan is a good QB, but if all you give him to play with are broken toys, then you’re not going to get a very happy camper.
Denver is playing by the seat of their pants with no real driver at the wheel. Drew Lock is not the answer, but they have made some moves to get some solid receivers in need of a QB.
Denver is the better team of the two, as the Falcons are one loss away from collapsing into a heap and crying on the floor.
I like Denver for the upset here.

Bears (5-3) vs Titans (5-2)
Titans -5.5  +46.5

The Titans took a beating at the hands of the lowly Bengals last weekend, which was a bit of surprise to many teams. The tandem of Tannehill & Henry was meant to instils fear and domination in the league, but as of late-not so much.
The Bears have had a bit of a flaccid dick year, looking hard and rough at times, and limp and moist at others. Nick Foles is expected to do big things, but that also requires his players to hold onto balls, which has been a problem this year.
The Titans aren’t 5.5 points better than the Bears thus far this season. The Bengals tossed the ball all over them, and the Bears can have similar success.
With recent injuries to their O line, the furious Chicago D should have no problem causing headaches for Tannehill.
I like Chicago to cover.

Dolphins (4-3) vs Cardinals (5-2)
Cardinals -4.5  +48

If you listened to our podcast, then you’ll know I am not a huge fan of Tua. He looked like a kid out of his element, and his size and lack of downfield vision hampered any progress he was going to make against the Rams last week. I’m not confident him in this week either, but I am a big fan of the Dolphins D.
Kyler Murray has had a great year thus far, finding Hopkins in huge, long plays, and using Christian Kirk at will. He will struggle against a Miami D that is starting to find its rhythm as of late.
Arizona has a tough game ahead against the Bills next week, so they might not be fully charged in a demolition of the Dolphins.
Miami has nothing to lose, and they continue to play that way.
Miami to cover.

Those are my upsets for Week 9, here’s the video of all my reasoning. Make sure you subscribe to our channels and share. We also have plenty of DraftKings contests to play in, just find our League NFL in London to join in all of the fun. Lockdown sucks, but at least we have football to get us through it. Good luck this week.

Callum’s Week 8

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Here’s another great Week 8 prediction from Mr. Squires, as we delve into our weekly feature Callum’s Week 8.  

THE PICKS SIX – WEEK EIGHT

Yo! Welcome back to The Picks Six. Last week, I went 9-4 in picking outright winners, but two of the key games that ruined all the fun were ones I was certain were going the other way. Turns out, the Patriots did not have enough in their locker to do the “Belichick Bounce Back” I predicted, and that the Cowboys are so abjectly awful on defense that they made the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM look competent. Embarrassing. A shambles. We jump back in with full of enthusiasm to a great slate of games in week 8, a number of which could genuinely go either way. This makes my job simultaneously harder and more enjoyable. Fingers crossed everything doesn’t blow up in my face like it did two weeks ago. Anyway… Let’s get to the predictions.

The 1st & Goal from the 1yd Line. (Season Record 2-1) 

This is my lock of the week. A sure fire winner surely.

Obviously, I have to continue picking against the Jets. They’re atrocious. So, the Chiefs to win in the safest bet of all time. They’re currently TWENTY (two zero, 20) point favourites. Incredible. That spread is so big, it does come with a little inherent risk, so I’m gonna tweak it a little, play it safe, and say let’s have Chiefs -9.5. A two score margin should be very doable for Mahomes. 

Furthermore, let’s spice it up and have 3 picks in this category this week. So, let’s add The Packers to win against the Vikings, and The Dolphins +10.5 against the Rams.

Rodgers is going to go all out to properly stamp out the Vikings from NFC North contention, and I don’t think Miami would put Tua in as starter if they didn’t think it would work immediately. I don’t think the Rams will blow Tagovailoa away – even with Aaron Donald – so let’s give the Dolphins a head start and play it safe. 

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The 45yd Field Goal (Season Record 0-2)

This is my mid-range, toss up of the week.

It’s not been a good start for me from mid-field goal range. Ugh. We’re gonna give two this week and try desperately to claw our way back to .500 in this category before Week 9.

Let’s start with the Browns -2.5 against the Raiders. Baker’s performance last week has refuelled my Browns Hype Train and I’m ready to ride them again. The Raiders run game stumbled against the Bucs last week and I think they’ll have to throw more with Derek Carr this week. I think the Browns are better on both sides of the ball and have enough to cover this spread.

My second choice is the Saints -5.0. Yup, I still think the Bears are frauds at 5-2. Thanks to the Rams for spelling that out very clearly last Monday night. Michael Thomas still being out is a shame, but Brees, Kamara and Latavius Murray should be able to wreak enough havoc to keep the – very good – Chicago defense on it’s heels. Looks like Allen Robinson might now play, increasing the already large amount of pressure on Foles to work miracles… I don’t see it. NOLA to cover please.

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The Hail Mary (Season Record 0-2)

This is my shot from half field. Unlikely, but you never know. 

I am so so so so so tempted to pick Ben Gucci DiNucci and the Cowboys to upset Philly outright. What a story it would be. I love an underdog story and, whilst it’s crazy to think of the Cowboys as the underdogs, in this case they really are. This would be the biggest upset of this season so far. I’m really talking myself into this…

You know what? Let’s change it up. This week’s Hail Mary is an underdog parlay.

Miami to win – TUA TIME.

Detroit to win – The Colts are meh on offense.

Pittsburgh to win – Ride the undefeated hand.

Dallas +7.5 – DiNucci has had a week to work with ALL those weapons, the Eagles DO have a lot of injuries… let’s give us a close game to round out Sunday night. 

I’ll have to see if we classify this as one pick or as four… but this little acca is about 38/1.

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The Overs (Season Record 2-2)

Raiders @ Browns – Over 49.5

As previously mentioned, Baker was absolutely SLINGING it last week (after OBJ got hurt), and John Gruden loves to chase the points. I think both these defenses are slyly decent, hence why the total is under 50 points, but can see offense winning the day here. Feels like both teams will sell out to stop the run (Josh Jacobs & Kareem Hunt respectively), meaning the passing game for both Mayfield and Derek Carr will be prevalent. Take over 49.5.

Titans @ Bengals – Over 51.0

Joe Burrow is trying his level best to drag this under-manned and out-matched Bengals team to relevancy. Their defense is just too weak to help on the back end. Burrow has shown enough throwing (and running) the ball to warrant respect that he’s capable of almost guaranteeing you at least 21pts on the board each week. The Titans have been nothing short of fantastic, and will be looking to bounce back from losing a very close one to arguably the best defense in the league last week, the Steelers. I see Tannehill, Derrick Henry, Jonnu Smith and AJ Brown on the Bengals defense in a high scoring affair. Take over 51.0.

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The Parlay (Complete Parlays 0-2, Correct Legs 5-4-1)

LA Chargers -3.0 – Justin Herbert is fast becoming one of my favourite players to watch, and the Broncos, despite having a good defense, just don’t have enough to keep up with JHerbz in this one. 

Seahawks -3.0 – One overtime shootout loss to the (very underrated) Cardinals does not stop Seattle being the NFC West top dog. They will re-establish that and solidify their Championship pedigree in this one. Russ will cook. 

Lions +3.0 – What a win they had last week. Sure, blame Atlanta’s incompetence, but equally praise Matt Stafford, Kenny Golladay and TJ Hockenson for masterminding that final drive. I like the Lions to win this game outright this week also, as the Colts have been very underwhelming with the ball in their hands. Detroit plus a field goal feels like a good bet. 

Bills -4.0 – The Patriots burned me last week, so I’m taking them to get burned again this week. Josh Allen and the Bills have had a little dip in form since their electric opening to the season, but this is a must win for them. If you can’t beat THIS Patriots team, and win the AFC East, you never will. BILL-ieve in Buffalo.

Steelers +4.5 – This one shouldn’t be a blow out in either direction, and with the Steelers rolling – as the lone undefeated team in the league – I think they might win this one outright, but taking the points advantage feels sensible. Lamar is of course liable to come off his bye week and go bonkers, but I’m hoping Ben and his army of weapons can stay with them. 

Depending on your bookmaker, a £10 bet on this parlay will return about £260. 

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The Full English: (Season Record 18-9)

Colts @ Lions – Lions

Rams @ Dolphins – Miami (There is 0% chance I’m picking against Tua on his debut… remember his Ba

Raiders @ Browns – Cleveland

Vikings @ Packers – Green Bay

Patriots @ Bills – Buffalo (Come on Josh Allen!!)

Jets @ Chiefs – Kansas City (the line is -20.0 and I think it’s way too low… sheeeeesh)

Steelers @ Ravens – Steelers (This is the toss up of all toss ups but I’m leaning Pittsburgh as their defense is for real and Lamar and the running game hasn’t been the same one we saw last year for the Ravens. Now that I’ve written this, Baltimore will probably win by 30 just to spite me…)

Titans @ Bengals – Tennessee

Chargers @ Broncos – LA

Saints @ Bears – New Orleans (Bears are still Frauds)

49ers @ Seahawks – Seattle

Cowboys @ Eagles – Eagles (I want to pick Gucci DiNucci and the Boyz but can’t quite take that risk. However, this will be closer than some people think…)

Buccaneers @ Giants – Tampa Bay

Enjoy Week 8! As ever, I’m @callumjdsquires on Twitter & Instagram. Let me know if there’s anything else you’d like to see me discuss or suggest picks for… Come chat and tell me why I’m wrong and your team is going to win this week. Jets fans – don’t turn the game on… don’t do it to yourself. Cheers.

All lines accurate as of 11am Saturday.’t

Want to make picks on this page like Callum does? Get in touch and we can post your articles here to a large fanbase. We don’t pay (yet), but hopefully as we grow, so will our pay. 

Week 8 Podcast

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Halfway through the season, and what a journey is has been.
In our Week 8 Podcast, Wade & Ryan reflect on the season thus far, and some of the top stories that have dominated the league. (hint:Covid plays a big part).
The boys also look back at the Week 7 games in the league, with such storylines as ‘Patriots Piss Themselves’ ‘St. Justin Hubert’, and ‘Dalton Losses his Head’, leading the front pages.

Ryan and Wade then dive into their week 8 predictions, treading carefully not to touch on their own teams lest Lady Luck flick them in the nads.
Among some of the top predictions the guys make for Week 8 include:

LA Rams (5-2) vs Dolphins (3-3)
Rams -3.5  +46

The Rams are fresh after a beating of the Bears on Monday night, but are they really that good? Their D is fast and furious, but Goff and the O have been more of whimper.
Flores has taken Fitzmagic out of the magic hat, giving Tua his first shot at an NFL start.
Miami is at home, so it reckons that they have a plan for this one, as 4 wins would move them up nicely to second in the AFC East.
Ryan thinks that the Rams will dominate this one, but Wade smells a Miami upset.
Ryan- Rams 27 Dolphins 14
Wade- Dolphins 24 Rams 23

Patriots (2-4) vs Bills (5-2)
Bills -3.5  +44

These records would have been reversed a few years ago, as fans across the League are revelling in the Pats sucking off a start to the 2020 NFL season. The Bills have lost focus the last few games, with Josh Allen not looking like the beast he was to start.
The Patriots look like that they are in free fall, with rumours circling that they are having a ‘fire sale’ to get rid of some of their top talent to trades, in what looks to be a signal of a rebuild.
Ryan hates betting on his own Bills, especially on games where dildo’s are involved.
Wade likes betting on both teams, as he has no favour in either of them.
Ryan- Patriots 23 Bills 20
Wade- Bills 27 Patriots 21

Steelers (6-0) vs Ravens (5-1)
Ravens -3.5  +49

Teams coming off a bye usually have energy and focus to lay a beating on the first team that they face back, although the Steelers struggled with the Eagles a few weeks ago.
The Ravens spent their week off shoring up their D and adding Dez Bryant to their practice squad.
Pittsburgh has benefitted with a plethora of scoring options each week, with new receivers seemingly popping out of the woodwork to add TDs to the tally. Big Bloated Ben has been inconsistent, yet effective-which still gets wins.
The Ravens will be angry in this contest, which will make it tough for the Steelers to build up momentum on drives. They will need their D to stand on their heads in this one.
Wade & Ryan both see a big game here, with the Ravens ultimately coming out on top.
Ryan- Ravens 30 Steelers 20
Wade- Ravens 31 Steelers 26

Saints (4-2) vs Bears (5-2)
Saints  -4 +44.5

The Saints are marching in to Soldier Field, albeit with more injuries than they would have wanted.
The Bears are searching for their offence, which could use some Viagra as they could use a stiffening up.
Chicago is coming off a loss to the Rams, in which they were bloody awful at scoring. New Orleans is fighting some sort of drama, with Michael Thomas acting like a petulant wide receiver. One wonders if Thomas will ever really come back, as he seems more addicted to spreading misery.
Ryan is bullish on the Bears, and thinks that the Saints are not as good as they seem.
Wade isn’t as confident on his Bears, and sees things getting worse before they get better.
Ryan- Bears 26 Saints 24
Wade- Saints 30 Bears 22

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Have a great week 8, and make sure that you listen to the whole podcast.

Wade’s Week 7

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We’re a third of the way through the 2020 NFL season, and what a wacked out season it has been thus far.
Crazy trades, huge losing streaks, injuries, and of course a global virus intent on ruining our Sundays.
With that looming spectre of doom hanging over our every week, let’s take a look at some of the top picks for this week in the NFL.
Fortunately, there are some good value upsets this week which can help you make out on the sports books.
Here are Wade’s Week 7 picks to help you get value out of your NFL bets this week.

Cowboys (2-4) vs Washington (1-5)
Cowboys -2  +47

Poor Dallas, they’ve watched their whole season fall apart like assess chaps made out of felt. Dak is gone, and their O-line is about as effective as a bouncer at a bingo hall. Washington is rallying for cancer, as Coach Ron puts on a happy face for the troops every Sunday. Both teams are depleted, but it seems that the Washington team might have something to play for. Getting a second win can also put them near the top of the division, which is sad in itself.
Washington 24 Cowboys 20

Lions (2-3) vs Falcons (1-5)
Falcons -2.5  +56.6

It’s cute that people still have faith in Atlanta, despite them letting down more faithful than a doomsday cult. Weakened and lacking hope, the Falcons trudge out on the field every Sunday waiting for the moment that their lead weakens and then they collapse. These games are only fun to watch with Falcons fans, as who doesn’t like tears on a Sunday?
Matt Stafford tosses up a lot of junk, and scores plenty of points, and all signs point to that in this game.
The Lions now have a bit of a running game to compliment Golladay, which will give Stafford options.
Lions 31 Falcons 28

Browns (4-2) vs Bengals (1-4-1)
Browns -3.5  +51

Baker Mayfield seems to be injured leading up to this contest, which will add to the mental burden he seems to be carrying this season. Baker doesn’t seem to be all there, playing inconsistently in the past few weeks while he deals with his own demons. The Bengals and Burrow have finished a slew of tough opponents, so now it’s time to use that toughness on some opponents you can gain some ground on.
I like the Bengals here to take it to the Browns at home. Mixon should be healthy and Joe will be hitting his new fave target Tee Higgins who is a worthwhile target in DFS.
Bengals 28 Browns 26

Steelers (5-0) vs Titans (5-0)
Titans -1  +52

It’s the battle of the undefeated, in the most anticipated match of Sunday. Both of these AFC teams have boasted impressive victories leading up to this contest, with each demonstrating some tough obstacles to overcome if they want to win. The Steelers D has been fast and furious each week, reducing some of the best offences to shreds. The Titans have Derrick Henry, a running back the size of a linebacker who has the wheels to demolish every Sunday.
I have to give the edge to the Steelers here, who have immense potential on offence, with a raft of good receivers to choose from.
The Titans D will struggle to contain Ben and the Pittsburgh attack, but it will be the Steel Curtain on D that sees the biggest gains.
Steelers 30 Titans 28

Chiefs (5-1) vs Broncos (2-3)
Chiefs -7.5  +48

The Chiefs are 5-1, but some of those wins have come from a little too much ‘too close for comfort’ games.
After an emotional win last week, the Chiefs will be looking to solidify the team across the board and deal with some of the nagging injuries affecting the squad.
The Broncos are thriving after a big win against the Patriots last week, in which their front D wrecked havoc on Cam Newton. With key injuries to the Chiefs O line, this is going to cause problems for Mahomes and the boys.
Denver also benefits from having some healthy returns to the squad in Bouye and Jones, who will make life rougher for the Chiefs.
Add to this snow in the forecast, and the crowd being made up of all South Park cut outs, and all signs point to the home team. Broncos to cover this one.
Chiefs 28 Broncos 21

I got all of my upsets tips correct last week, which would have paid you out 6.5/1. Take all of these picks with a £10 bet, and you will a cool £338.09 as a profit.

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Have a great Sunday of football, and don’t forget the games start early today!

 

 

The Picks Six

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Yo! Welcome to the first edition of The Picks Six. This is a new concept, so bare with me whilst I figure it out. But each week I’m gonna give 6 types of picks or tips for the upcoming slate of games. Each category is a little different; some are sure fire “this is definitely going to happen,” and some are long shots “this is a bit of a dream but it’s plausible at least.” Like for example last week. I thought the Dolphins had a great shot at upsetting the 49ers. And they did. Wish I’d started this column last week now… We’ll keep track of how I do in each category so you can know which ones to trust and which ones to laugh at. 

Anyway… for us Brits, this week’s Sky Sports Slate of games is absolutely electric. Steelers vs Browns, Buccaneers vs Packers, Rams vs 49ers (ehhhh okay not great), Bills vs Chiefs AND Cardinals vs Cowboys? 4 out of 5 are legitimately must see. But if I can avoid watching Jimmy G I will absolutely do so, so let’s just pretend that game isn’t happening for the rest of this article? Cool! Let’s get stuck into my picks. 

1) The 1st and Goal from the One 

This is my lock of the week. A sure fire winner surely. 

I’m very tempted to pick the Panthers to beat the (extremely fraudulent, sorry not sorry Wade) 4-1 Bears, but I’m not quite as confident in that as a couple other options this weekend. It’s two AFC East teams, and I just cannot see any way they lose this weekend. I’m talking about the Patriots and the Dolphins. New England have seemingly survived Cam’s corona scare… and he’s back this week to face the fairly unfortunate Broncos, who have been decimated by injuries and then this week had the story of Melvin Gordon getting a DUI. It’s not been great for Denver, and I don’t think their luck changes on Sunday. Belichick can see a glimmer of light at the top of the AFC East after the Bills lost on Tuesday night. I’m taking the Patriots to win in comfortable fashion. BUT – as a bonus for the first week of this column, I’m also taking the Dolphins, who face the newly LeVeon Bell-less Jets. Adam Gase man… where do you even start? Probably best to make this quick. Brian Flores has the Dolphins playing great football and winning games. The Jets are absolutely horrific. I feel (for once) very confident that my Fins get their 3rd win of the season on Sunday.

2) The 45yd Field Goal (around even odds)

This is my mid-range, toss up of the week. 

So my pick is going to Green to beat Tampa in the matchup I’ve dubbed “battle of the bays.” I’m sure that’s copyrighted by someone else but hey, it sounds good. Tommy B has been up and down since relocating to Florida, and AA Rod is in the middle of his “how dare you not rank me in the top 10 of the NFL 100” revenge tour. It’s hard for me to understand why the Packers are ONLY favoured by a solitary point here coming off a Bye last week. I know the Buccaneers defense is tasty, but Aaron Jones and the (hopefully) returning healthy Davante Adams are too electrifying to stop, and they’ll both benefit from having the other in the lineup. Let’s go for Green Bay -1.0.

3). The Hail Mary (4/1 or longer)

This is my shot from half field. Unlikely, but you never know. 

The AFC North is fast confirming itself to be – alongside the NFC West – the best division in Football. The Ravens, Steelers AND (surprisingly) Browns are all proving themselves to be playoff calibration teams, with potential SuperBowl aspirations. Big Ben’s comeback player of the year campaign is off to a flyer, and rookie WR Chase Claypool set the Fantasy Football world on fire last week with 45 points in his 4TD demolition of the Eagles. Cleveland faced their toughest defense (since the Ravens in week 1) and dismantled the Colts with relative ease. Baker looked good, Kareem Hunt is running like he did in Kansas City, and OBJ has maybe got his mojo back. I’m so excited for this matchup. BUT I think this really means a lot to the Browns. They’re used to getting eviscerated by Pittsburgh and, after the “contentious” ending to last season’s second matchup (you know, the one with the attempted murder??), I think Myles Garrett will be out for… errr… sacks!? Cleveland are the underdogs but if they can get the run game going they can limit the Steelers’ time of possession. Ben will always air it out to try and catch up but I think the Browns have enough to not only upset the Steelers but win by a wider margin than expected.

We’re gonna go Cleveland Browns to win by 7-12 points. 

4) The Over

I like points. Sue me. Give me 45-44 over 17-14 every day. I’m a Big XII guy. Points points points. Throw the ball. So, I’m using this section to look at the points totals and pick an over that I like. 

Cardinals @ Cowboys – Over 55.0

Yeah, it’s a high line, but this has “shootout” written all over it. I love the Cardinals. I absolutely love them. They’re so exciting. Kyler is a speed demon. Hopkins is – for me – the best receiver in the league. Their run game has struggled but we all know Kenyan Drake could just turn it on one week and blow people away again. And then you’ve got Dallas. Firstly, get well soon Dak. Secondly, Andy Dalton is… not Dak Prescott, but has a better set of weapons in Dallas than he EVER had in Cincinnati. Lamb, Cooper & Gallup can cause Patrick Peterson and the Cardinals DBs a lot of issues, creating space for Zeke between the tackles, especially now Chandler Jones is done for the year. But Kyler and Hopkins will feast on a suspect Cowboys secondary that made the Giants look like an offensive powerhouse at times last week. I’m excited to see these two offenses beat up on the defenses on Monday Night. 

5) The Parlay

A little 5 team accumulator for the people. 

Titans -3.5 (how are Tennessee, who are 4-0, only -3.5 against a 1-4 Houston team?!)

Dolphins -10.0 (yeah, it’s A LOT of points for the Dolphins and Fitzmagic to cover… BUT… I mean… have you SEEN the Jets?)

Patriots -9.5 (Cam’s back, and the Broncos are broken. Even if Drew Lock plays, the New England defense is nasty enough to give him nightmares)

Browns +3.5 (I think they win outright, but the FG + a half point here makes this feel like a safe bet)

Lions -3.0 (Golladay back, Sacksonville ain’t what it used to be, Lions managed to beat the Cardinals – a GOOD team – earlier this year. I trust Stafford to win this game)

£10 on this pays about £260 depending on your Bookmaker.

6) The Full English

This is just gonna be my straight up, nice and simple, prediction for who wins every single game each week. We’ll keep a rolling total and win % for me and hopefully it’ll be a number significantly higher than 50…

ATL vs MIN – Atlanta

BAL vs PHI – Ravens

CHI vs CAR – Panthers

CIN vs IND – Colts

CLE vs PIT – Browns

DEN vs NE – Patriots

DET vs JAX – Lions

HOU vs TEN – Titans

WAS vs NYG – Giants

NYJ vs MIA – Dolphins

GB vs TB – Packers

LAR vs SF – Rams

KC vs BUF – Chiefs

ARI vs DAL – Cardinals

And that’s it! Can’t wait to get absolutely none of these right this week. Hope you enjoyed reading my thoughts. Fingers crossed you come back next week. I’m @callumjdsquires on Twitter and Instagram if you wanna chat further. Have a good one!

All Lines and Totals accurate as of Friday 16th October at 15:00. 

Callum Squires is a London based writer, Dolphins fan and regular contributor to NFL in London.