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Callum’s Week 9

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Welcome back to another edition of The Picks Six! Six sections of NFL Tips and Picks for the weekend ahead.

Week 9 is poised to be one of the best of the season so far. One legitimate blockbuster game (Saints-Bucs), plus numerous intriguing matchups that might tell us a lot about the playoff contenders and playoff pretenders. Seahawks-Bills, Dolphins-Cardinals, Bears-Titans, Ravens-Colts… tasty!! Let’s dive straight in and see if we can improve on our 26-14 record on picking games straight up! 

The 1st & Goal from the 1yd Line. (Season Record: 4-2) 

This is my lock of the week. A sure fire winner surely.

It’s got to the point in the season where you can almost pick teams to lose, rather than teams to win. So you might see a pattern to two develop in my “lock of the week” picks. This week, the hapless New York Jets face the wounded New England Patriots on Monday night. Cam and Bill find themselves at 2-5, trailing not just the Bills, but also the Dolphins(!!) in the AFC East standings. Patriots by a billion on Monday night. 

The 45yd Field Goal (Season Record 0-4)

This is my mid-range, around even odds, toss up of the week.

Embarrassingly, 0-4 on toss ups. Yeeesh. Let’s rectify that please. We’ll go for 2 this week and hope to halve our deficit. 

Steelers -14.0 – This line is big, but the Cowboys… against THAT Steelers defense!? Not for me. Don’t see how the Cowboys can score enough to keep up… or stop Big Ben enough to stay close… AAF legend Garrett Gilbert set to start for Dallas?? Ezekiel Elliott doesn’t look like himself?? They REALLY miss Dak… Pittsburgh for sure this weekend. They remain undefeated.

Texans -7.0 – Deshaun Watson deserves better than the record this Texans team has. No Gardner Minshew for the Jaguars means this should be a fairly straightforward Texans win. I wish the line was -6.5 of course, but even at -7.0 it’s hard not to believe in Watson (and his weapons) having enough to take the Jags apart. Texans please.

The Hail Mary (Season Record 0-3)

This is my shot from half field. Unlikely, but you never know. 

Went 2-2 on my under dogs acca last week, not too bad. Let’s try something different again this week. A little Touchdown Scorers acca.

Marquise Brown (vs Colts) – The Colts’ run defense is stout and they’ll be challenging Lamar Jackson to throw, whilst trying to take away Mark Andrews. I think that leaves Hollywood open for a score, especially after they connected in the endzone last week vs the Steelers.

Brandin Cooks (vs Jaguars) – I think the Texans run this score up quite a bit here. Watson has a great connection with Will Fuller, but quietly Cooks is putting together a nice season too. I’ll take Cooks vs a suspect Jags Defense.

Darius Slayton (vs Football Team) – Danny Dimes’ favourite target is due for a score, and the Washington defense scares me a lot more up front than on the back end. I see this game being back and forth and lots of throwing. A couple EndZone targets for Slayton is very possible. 

DeVante Parker (vs Cardinals) – Tua was mediocre last week but still managed to connect with the Dolphins’ top receiver for a Touchdown. I’m hoping he can repeat the trick in this game where Miami are likely to need to throw to keep up with Kyler and DHop. 

This acca pays around 52/1 depending on your bookmaker.

The Overs (Season Record: 2-3-1)

Saints @ Buccaneers – Over 50.5 – Sunday Night Football is supposed to be a shootout. If I’m staying up until 4:30am, I expect a Seahawks-esque 37-34 game, not a boring “blowout” like the Eagles-Cowboys last week. These two teams are explosive and Brees and Brady will want to outduel each other. Antonio Brown’s Buccaneers debut? Michael Thomas finally returning and wanting to make a statement? Both teams squabbling over the lead in the NFC South? I’m taking the over. 

Raiders @ Chargers – Over 51.5 – The Raiders burned me last week by shutting down the Browns, but I can legitimately blame that somewhat on the weather too. Justin Herbert and Derek Carr both like to push the ball down the field to their big threats; Henry Ruggs and Mike Williams really help this. But both these teams need a win. The Chargers seemingly have no problem running up points… but can’t stop leaking them at the back either. I like this over a lot.

The Parlay  (Complete Parlays 0-3, Correct Legs 7-7-1)

Baltimore to win – Jackson needs a statement win. This would be that.

Giants +2.5 – Giants pushed Brady close. Washington are well below average (that’s being kind). Giants should be favoured in my opinion…

Patriots -8.5 – As previously stated… it’s the Jets. Patriots. By. A. Billion.

Titans -6.5 – Tennessee bounce back game? Yep. Losing to Cincinnati will have pissed off Derrick Henry. Bears can’t stop Tennessee.

Falcons -4.0 – Broncos are Frauds. Falcons have the weapons. If Matt Ryan can hold it together, Atlanta should win with ease.

This parlay pays about 24/1 depending on your bookmaker.

The Full English (Season Record: 26-14)

Ravens @ Colts – Baltimore

Panthers @ Chiefs – Mahomes City

Bears @ Titans – Tennessee

Broncos @ Falcons – Atlanta (you can be DAMN sure I’m not picking against the city of Atlanta or the state of Georgia this week!!)

Lions @ Vikings – Minnesota

Texans @ Jaguars – Houston

Giants @ Football Team – New York

Seahawks @ Bills – Seattle

Raiders @ Chargers – Las Vegas

Dolphins @ Cardinals – Arizona 

Steelers @ Cowboys – Pittsburgh 

Saints @ Buccaneers – New Orleans (Give me the Brees upset with Michael Thomas having a big game. AB to score a TD though…)

Patriots @ Jets – New England 

Week 10 to Come:

Highlighted by Colts-Titans on Thursday night, plus Ravens-Patriots, Rams-Seahawks, and 49ers-Saints on Sunday, Week 10 should be another doozy, as the Steelers also face the Bengals trying to stay perfect. The playoff field will really start to take shape. As always, I’m @callumjdsquires on Twitter & Instagram. Follow me for Man Utd-related panic tweets, Joe Biden gifs and Dolphins’ fandom. Have a good one.

Callum Squires is a freelance writer, former collegiate athlete in America, and all around good guy. If you want to write articles for NFL in London, get in touch. 

Wade’s Picks

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Weekend Picks Against the Spread

It’s Divisional Weekend in the NFL, so I thought I would share my picks for this weekend.

There are some pretty damn tight games, as well as some pretty high spreads-which means this one will be tricky when getting the point spreads and the overs right.
I also always like to check the weather, as that will affect the over/under in most games-as it’s tough to score in snow!
Luckily it looks like a pretty placid weekend, even in Green Bay.

If you want to take my picks, head over to BetRegal-where they have some great offers for NFL divisional weekend. Take my picks and win big.

We also have a DraftKings contest on this weekend, so see if you can win big in that one as well.

So here are my picks for the weekend.

Saturday

Vikings (11-6) vs -7 49ers (13-3) +45

The Vikings and 49ers seem to be at opposite ends of the playoff spectrum. The Vikings started sluggish, then rebounded near the end of the season, while the Niners crushed everyone to start, before giving up a few suspect losses.
Yes, the Vikings do have momentum and a healthy line-up heading down to the Bay area.
The 49ers have played extremely well at home, and with that extra week off-will be anticipating the deep ball threat of the Vikes.
The big difference here is going to be the 49ers front 7 vs Kirk Cousins.
If you can get to Kirk, the offence is going to fall apart. He’s not a scrambling QB, so if they can get him on his back feet-they will score.
I like the Vikings to keep it closer than the 7 point spread, but these Niners with a week off will be too much to handle.
George Kittle will have a great game as well.
VIKINGS COVER

Titans (10-7) vs -9.5 Ravens (14-2) + 47

How do you solve a problem like Lamar Jackson? You don’t.
He is too fast, too smart, and has incredible QB IQ.
I think even Dr. Strange would need to go through multiple universe possibilities to see how the Titans can beat the Ravens.
Sure, they beat a hobbled Tom Brady and the Patriots last weekend, but the Pats averaged more yards than they did.
With a week off, and plenty of film to review the Ravens will be focused on shutting down Henry & Tannehill.
Henry will be tough, because he can pretty much through everything.
Tannehill on the other hand will be suspect to some huge pass rushes and a fierce secondary looking for loose balls meant for AJ Brown.
The Titans might be able to score on a scripted play early on, but the Ravens will pile on the pressure.
This one could be over by halftime.
RAVENS WIN

Sunday Games

Texans (11-6) vs -9.5 Chiefs (12-4) + 50.5

Looking for points? This game promises loads of them, as Patrick Mahomes heads to home field with a week off.
The Texans were able to overcome a plucky Bills team to steal a victory last week, but can they do it this week?
No way.
The Chiefs have a healthy roster back, and redemption in mind after their loss to the Texans this season.
Kansas has also improved on its D, with many healthy bodies back in the fold.
Can’t see anyway that the Texans will do anything but crumble under pressure in this game.
CHIEFS WIN

Seahawks (12-5) vs -4 Packers (13-3) +46.5

The Packers are 13-3 with a bye, but did they really whoop anyone this year?
Is anyone really scared of the Packers?
Yeas, they have home field advantage and the Seahawks have sucked at Lambeau in the past, but this game will be more than about that.
The Seahawks continue to grow in confidence, even with huge injuries to their running game.
Marshawn might be old and crusty, but he still can power run through some tough lines and is great in the redzone.
The Seahawks easily cruised through the Philly D, and there’s no reason to suspect that they won’t do the same here.
Russell Wilson should gash up yards running from the Packers D, who have trouble with QBs of his pedigree.
I originally thought that the Seahawks might be able to cover, but now I am confident that they can win.
SEAHAWKS WIN

Make sure you join us at the Long Acre pub in Covent Garden this weekend. FYI that if you are coming Saturday, you will need a ticket after 10pm as that’s when it becomes ticketed.
Why is that?
It’s central London on a Saturday-it gets nutty.

See you this weekend and good luck on your bets!

Wade’s Week 12 Picks

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What’s Wade’s top Parlay Tip for Week 3?

Ok folks, I have a triple threat here, which I think will be a winner-winner chicken dinner for your Sunday betting roast. If you like my tips, or they help you out, make sure you follow & subscribe for more tips.

I’m not a betting expert, let’s get this out the gate to begin with. But I do well with NFL. I’m hitting 65% this season which tops most Vegas casino bookies. I’ve averaged 71% in 2018, 67% in 2017 & 70% in 2016. If you don’t believe me we record and post all this crap, so go through the archives.

So let’s bang on with a 3 some of that will treble you a 7.11. Throw £100 on this and you profit £611. Easy peasy. Your money, my goodish advice.

Broncos (3-7) vs -4 Bills (7-3) +38

The Broncos are hurting. Maybe not as much as the Browns, maybe more-but they are hurting. They laid a beatdown on the Vikings only to see it disappear before their foolishness. To have your D swarm, scramble and surround with such ferocity, & then watch the O just do ‘no’, was a sad show.
The Bills are buoyed by Josh Allen’s plucky win over a loser team last week. Make no mistake, this Broncos D is no loser. They are angry. The Bills are at home, then have 4 days to play the rough-riding Cowboys in Dallas.
It’s doubtful the Bills will be fully focused. They have won a few games, but the road ahead is paved with titan teams. Just not the Titans. This might be more a practice game for the Bills, looking at the Thanksgiving roast ahead. Prep your O line for the Broncos, but don’t get hurt enough you’re not ready to beat the Boyz.
Ryan has been unnaturally silence on the Bills success, which has shown his temperance as husband and fan, I respect that, but I also know there is a massive ‘fuck you guys!’ brewing inside & I kind of want to see it.
A Bills fan celebrating is better than a Packers, Cowboys, or Patriots fan any day.
I still see the Broncos winning in this one, the Bills are getting ready for the Cowboy plains showdown.
Broncos Win

-3 Raiders (6-4) vs Jets (3-7)

The Raiders are playing some good Gruden football! There fired up! Yes, the Raiders do posit themselves as the wildest of potential wildcards going into this playoffs, but division winner? That’s a tough ask. So is this game. The Raiders have relied heavily on Josh Jacobs, but their receiving corp is pretty banged up.
The D is banged up, with a secondary looser than a housewife after her third pinot before noon. And just like her they are easy to score on as the night progresses. You end up banging them deep in the back end all night, and yes-I’m talking football. Sort of.  Robbie Anderson could tear up this back end all night long. Oh yeah. But seriously, you might want to add him to your fantasy.

The Jets limited Saquon Barkley to 1 yard last week. 1 yard. So Josh is going to struggle and Carr is going to have to shake and bake against a glowing defence. Sam Darnold is also starting to show the signs of a comatose patient now awake. Maybe it wasn’t mono, maybe it was a genetic implant but the kid is starting to look better. Unlike other QBs of his draft, he displays a real craft for innovation.
I like the Jets here to continue their unrestful behaviour. They are the Raiders of the east coast, and this time the silver and black will be held back.
Jets Win

Seahawks (8-2) vs -1 Eagles (5-5)

Eagles favoured by 1 huh? Huh? Why would that be? The Eagles suck and the Seahawks are totally blaze amaze. Eagles had a 10 point lead on the Patriots last week until a defensive injury set the whole team back. Brady got time, Brady & the D got points. They are playing a fierce level of football now that’s a reflection of the city. Hard, hungry, gritty and an outsider. As a 5-5 team they are gunning for a wildcard spot, they know their division is weak, and like an eagle they are circling. New pieces, new focus, look out. They wild now.

Their counterpart birds the Seahawks are 8-2, but a shaky 8-2. Russell Wilson and the gang seem to be packing horseshoes and hand grenades as they plough though some easy victims on their way to the playoffs. Yeah, they have won some good games, but this one might be different. Tyler Lockett being out is going to limit RW, and Philly shuts down the run like a mutha-trucka. The Seahawks are in a tight spot here, and I don’t like their chances in a cold night in Philadelphia. It’s going to be a rude awakening to the NFC & east coast cold winters. Santa will be here soon Russell, just not tonight.
Eagles Win

So take these 3 bets and you get a 7.11 bet which means this parlay is 7.11 times the value of your bet. Even if you throw £10 down, you will get £71.10, for an overall profit of £61.10.
Take a punt on my parlay, who knows?

NCAA Saturday

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You ready for come NCAA football?
With no football (soccer) and rugby being chased away by a typhoon-the NCAA football will be in full force this weekend.

So where do you watch it on a Saturday in London?
Well-not many, if any places will play it-as they will be dealing with loads of drunks and coked out DJs on iMacs.

But there is a place in North London where you can watch Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M and Alabama.
That place is the Princess Alex in Crouch End.

It’s open until 1am on Saturday-so pop in for a few beers, grab some wings and enjoy the games in style in front of their massive projector.

Saturday is Football day as well!

NCAA-Week 1

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The NCAA is finally here, and what a way to kick it off with some picks.
Our sharpie Wade takes a stab at some of the things you might want to look at when college football starts off the season.
First off-Wade doesn’t think that Clemson is going to boot GT all over the field all day.
First week back can be jittery-but 37 its is just too dear.
Spartans by 23.5 over Tulsa? Don’t think so.
Michigan St always has a bit of cobwebs coming out the gate, so fade them.
Lastly take the Beavers to cover by more than 2 over Oklahoma St.
Feisty Oregon might have a team together this year, & this game will see how this offence can finally pull it together.